{"id":10252,"date":"2016-03-30T21:47:46","date_gmt":"2016-03-30T12:47:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10252"},"modified":"2016-03-30T21:47:46","modified_gmt":"2016-03-30T12:47:46","slug":"%e4%b8%8a%e6%b5%b7%e7%b7%8f%e5%90%88%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e9%80%b1%e8%b6%b3%e3%83%bb%e3%83%90%e3%83%96%e3%83%ab%e5%b4%a9%e5%a3%8a%e5%be%8c%e3%81%ab%e3%81%a9%e3%81%86%e3%81%aa%e3%81%a3%e3%81%9f%e3%81%8b-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10252","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\uff086\uff09\u30fb1990\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u632f\u308b\u821e\u3044\u30fb\u623b\u308a\u76ee\u6a19\u306f3000-3500\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\/SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) Weekly (6); After Bubble Burst; Now is similar to N225 in 1990; recovery target is 3000 &ndash; 3500 point \/\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u3002\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u540e\uff0c\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u600e\u6837\uff1f\u7b2c6\u90e8\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u76f8\u4f3c1990\u5e74\u7684\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u6062\u590d\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u4ece3000\u70b9\u52303500\u70b9\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\uff086\uff09\u30fb1990\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u632f\u308b\u821e\u3044\u30fb\u623b\u308a\u76ee\u6a19\u306f3000-3500\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) Weekly (6); After Bubble Burst; Now is similar to N225 in 1990; recovery target is 3000 \u2013 3500 point<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u3002\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u540e\uff0c\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u600e\u6837\uff1f\u7b2c6\u90e8\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u76f8\u4f3c1990\u5e74\u7684\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u6062\u590d\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u4ece3000\u70b9\u52303500\u70b9\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20150719\" target=\"_blank\">2015\/07\/19<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151006\" target=\"_blank\">2015\/10\/06<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151029\" target=\"_blank\">2015\/10\/29<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151128\" target=\"_blank\">2015\/11\/28<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20160129\" target=\"_blank\">2016\/1\/29\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/a>\u3067\u306f\u300c\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\u30fb\u65e5\u7d4c\u3001\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u300d\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u69d8\u5b50\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u5831\u544a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Today\u2019s analyze is SSE Composite Index weekly data.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We reported \u201cSSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) Weekly; After Bubble Burst, what it would be?; Comparing N225 and DJI\u201d in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20150719\" target=\"_blank\">07\/19\/2015<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151006\" target=\"_blank\">10\/06\/2015<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151029\" target=\"_blank\">10\/29\/2015<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20151128\" target=\"_blank\">11\/28\/2015<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20160129\" target=\"_blank\">1\/29\/2016<\/a>.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Today, we introduce what happened after that.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/0.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"0\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"0\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/0_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"421\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f34\u9031\uff082016\/1\/29\u306e\u9031\uff09\u306b53%\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1989\/12\/29\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u306e2\u756a\u5e95\u306f40\u9031\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306f54%\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306b\u30b9\u30d4\u30fc\u30c9\u611f\u304c\u3042\u308b\u305f\u3081\u9055\u3044\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5024\u5e45\u7684\u306b\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u632f\u308b\u821e\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306b\u8003\u3048\u308b\u306833\u9031\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u4e0b\u3052\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u3001\u66f4\u306a\u308b\u4e0b\u5024\u304c\u671f\u5f85\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Shanghai market took the bottom in 34 weeks (01\/29\/2016 week) and it was 53%.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The secondary bottom of Nikkei in 1989 was 40 weeks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">It was 54 % fall.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">There is a difference but the price range is very similar behavior.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">This market felled 33 weeks over and this often implies \u201cmore fall\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"1\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/19.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"204\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u304c\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u5023\u3046\u306a\u3089\u3001\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306f3175\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1989\/12\/29\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u306b\u4f3c\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308c\u30703500\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d\u30013000\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u304b\u30893500\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u307e\u3067\u623b\u308b\u60f3\u5b9a\u3092\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3068\u826f\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If Shanghai market will follow the past market, the average of recovery will be 3175 point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If this market will follow N225 market in 1989 peaked out, 3500 point will be the recovery point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">In conclusion, our view is this market will recover from 3000 point to 3500 point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"2\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/29.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"120\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\uff086\uff09\u30fb1990\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u632f\u308b\u821e\u3044\u30fb\u623b\u308a\u76ee\u6a19\u306f3000-3500\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8 SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) W [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-sse-composite-index"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10252"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10253,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10252\/revisions\/10253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}