{"id":10418,"date":"2016-05-02T21:40:20","date_gmt":"2016-05-02T12:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10418"},"modified":"2016-05-04T09:35:57","modified_gmt":"2016-05-04T00:35:57","slug":"%e3%83%86%e3%82%af%e3%83%8b%e3%82%ab%e3%83%ab%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e4%b8%8a%e3%81%ae%e8%aa%a4%e5%b7%ae%e3%82%92%e3%81%a9%e3%81%86%e6%89%b1%e3%81%86%e3%81%8b%ef%bc%9fhow-to-deal-with-the-tolerance-of-the","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10418","title":{"rendered":"\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u3069\u3046\u6271\u3046\u304b\uff1f\/How to deal with the tolerance of the price on technical analysis? \/\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bb9\u8bb8\u8303\u56f4,\u600e\u6837\u505a\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u3069\u3046\u6271\u3046\u304b\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

How to deal with the tolerance of the price on technical analysis?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bb9\u8bb8\u8303\u56f4,\u600e\u6837\u505a\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Retar.jp\u306e2016\/04\/28\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/a>\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8cea\u554f\u3092\u3044\u305f\u3060\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c\u7fbd\u9ed2\u6cd5\u3001\u9031\u8db3\u306e\u59cb\u5024=\u9ad8\u5024\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 13\u53f7\u7dda\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306f\u8aa4\u5dee\u306e\u8a31\u5bb9\u7bc4\u56f2\u306e\u53d6\u308a\u65b9\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u306f\u300116\u53f7\u7dda\u304b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n

Last day, we got a question about 04\/28 report<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIn your \u2018HAGURO\u2019 method, you treated the open price is same as the highest. But I think this is No.13 or No.16.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u70b9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u304a\u7b54\u3048\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

And we will answer this.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u307e\u305a\u3001\u306f\u3058\u3081\u306bRetar.jp\u3067\u306f\u7fbd\u9ed2\u8db3\u3092\u3001\u201d\u7fbd\u9ed211(16)\u53f7\u7dda\u201d\u306e\u5f62\u3067\u8868\u8a18\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u306e\u7406\u7531\u306f\u66f8\u7c4d\u306b\u3088\u308a2\u901a\u308a\u306e\u8a18\u8ff0\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5927\u6b63\u3084\u662d\u548c\u521d\u671f\u306e\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u66f8\u7c4d\u3067\u8abf\u3079\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7fbd\u9ed2\u8db3\u306f\u672c\u6765\u9670\u967d\u975e\u5bfe\u79f0\u306e\u8a18\u8ff0\u306e\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3001\u3082\u3068\u3082\u3068\u306f\u30ab\u30c3\u30b3\u5185\u306e\u756a\u53f7\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u66f8\u7c4d\u3067\u306f\u9670\u967d\u5bfe\u79f0\u306e\u756a\u53f7\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u3053\u3067Retar.jp\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f2\u3064\u306e\u756a\u53f7\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u8868\u8a18\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We introduce \u201cHAGURO\u201d formation as No.11 (16).<\/span><\/p>\n

The reason why we write is we can see two type of books.<\/span><\/p>\n

In old books from the Taisho to the early Showa period, \u201cHAGURO\u201d formation is written unsymmetrical in black and white candle stick.<\/span><\/p>\n

But these days, symmetrical in black and white candle stick is in fashion.<\/span><\/p>\n

So we use two types of writing.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"haguro\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u3067\u3001\u3044\u3064\u3082\u8ab2\u984c\u3068\u306a\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u8aa4\u5dee\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bfe\u7b56\u306f\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u8aa4\u5dee\u3068\u306f\u4f55\u304b\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u500b\u3005\u4eba\u306e\u88c1\u91cf\u306e\u631f\u3080\u4f59\u5730\u3092\u306a\u304f\u3057\u3001\u8ab0\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u3082\u540c\u3058\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u6c7a\u3081\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u3069\u3046\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u304b\u304c\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u306e\u809d\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6539\u5584\u306e\u65e5\u3005\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

In technical analysis, one of the most important thing is how to deal with the tolerance value.<\/span><\/p>\n

The only method is defining what and how is the tolerance value.<\/span><\/p>\n

We have to free from the room of our discretion and we must make the rule anyone can draw.<\/span><\/p>\n

This is the main point of the technical analysis and we need to survey every day and need Kaizen.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7fbd\u9ed2\u8db3\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3001P&F\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we introduce the method of \u201cHAGURO\u201d formation, Trend line and P&F.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7fbd\u9ed2\u8db3\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u95be\u5024\u304c\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7c21\u5358\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u30d2\u30b2\u306e\u9577\u3055\u304c\u308d\u3046\u305d\u304f\u8db3\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u4f55%\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3048\u3070\u5224\u5b9a\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u3048\u30701991\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u304b\u3089\u5148\u9031\u307e\u30671322\u9031\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7fbd\u9ed211(16)\u53f7\u7dda\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306eRetar.jp\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u95be\u5024\u3067\u306f\u7d046%\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7dda\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53b3\u5bc6\u306b\u300c\u30d2\u30b2\u306a\u3057\u300d\u3068\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u30013\u901a\u308a\u3057\u304b\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u30013\/1322=0.22%\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30ec\u30a2\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

There are some method of treating the \u201cupper and lower shadow\u201d and the easiest method is you can define the percentages of the shadow.<\/span><\/p>\n

For example, there are 1322 weeks from 1991 to last week.<\/span><\/p>\n

Using our judging method, \u201cHAGURO\u201d No. 11(16) formation appeared 6%.<\/span><\/p>\n

When we applying the strict judging rule (Shadow are zero percent), there were only three occasions and these are too rare.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u30012012\u5e74\u672b\u306b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u30fb\u305d\u306e\uff13\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u7de8(1)(2012\/12\/31)<\/a><\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u30fb\u305d\u306e4\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u7de8(2)(2013\/01\/01)<\/a><\/p>\n

\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u88c1\u91cf\u306e\u5165\u308b\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u6700\u826f\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u3068\u6ce8\u610f\u70b9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We introduced our trend line method at the end of 2012.<\/span><\/p>\n

Our analyzing method Part.3; Trend line method Part 1. (12\/31\/2012)<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Our analyzing method Part.4; Trend line method Part 2. (01\/01\/2013)<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Trend line method has a tendency of making our discretion and we suggested the best method of avoiding our discretion.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

P&F\u306f\u3001\u305d\u3082\u305d\u3082\u5024\u5e45\u306e\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3092\u7701\u304f\u512a\u308c\u305f\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u8a2d\u5b9a\u5024\u5e45\u3092\u8abf\u6574\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u898b\u65b9\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5909\u308f\u3063\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u9031\u8db3\u306e\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u76f8\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n

\u901a\u5e38\u4f7f\u30461\u5186\u5024\u5e45\u3067\u306f45\u5ea6\u7dda\u304c\u5229\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u30010.2\u5186\u5024\u5e45\u3067\u306f\u30c0\u30de\u30b7\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u3050\u3046\u306e\u97f3\u3082\u51fa\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u6700\u826f\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4e00\u8cab\u3057\u3066\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u89b3\u5bdf\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u6700\u826f\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Closed price P&F is the one of the best method free from our discretion and we have only to adjust the price range.<\/span><\/p>\n

For example, we can introduce the USDJPY weekly market.<\/span><\/p>\n

We can know 45 degree line worked well in 1.0 yen price range but 0.2 yen price range did not work well.<\/span><\/p>\n

We can only adjust the price range and we think this is one of the most un-discretional method.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"pf02\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"pf10\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/span>Contact Us<\/span><\/a>\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/span><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u4e0a\u306e\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u3069\u3046\u6271\u3046\u304b\uff1f How to deal with the tolerance of the price on technical analysis? \u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5bb9\u8bb8\u8303\u56f4,\u600e\u6837\u505a\uff1f   […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyzing-way"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10418"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10418\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10422,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10418\/revisions\/10422"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}