{"id":10670,"date":"2016-06-23T19:33:29","date_gmt":"2016-06-23T10:33:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10670"},"modified":"2016-06-23T19:33:29","modified_gmt":"2016-06-23T10:33:29","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e3%81%a8boj%e8%87%a8%e6%99%82%e4%bc%9a%e5%90%88%e3%81%ae%e5%bd%b1%e9%9f%bf%e3%83%bb%e5%8a%b9%e6%9e%9c%e3%81%ae%e7%a2%ba%e8%aa%8d%e3%81%af%e5%88%9d%e5%8b%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=10670","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068BOJ\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u30fb\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u521d\u52d5\u306e\uff19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\/Effect of N225 and BOJ extra meeting; the effect can confirm after 9 business days. \/\u65e5\u7ecf225\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u94f6\u884c\u4e34\u65f6\u805a\u4f1a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc79\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u7684\u6548\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u8ba4\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068BOJ\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u30fb\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u521d\u52d5\u306e\uff19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Effect of N225 and BOJ extra meeting; the effect can confirm after 9 business days.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u94f6\u884c\u4e34\u65f6\u805a\u4f1a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc79\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u7684\u6548\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u8ba4\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u65e5\u9280\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u521d\u52d5\u306e\uff19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057\u30012016\/06\/24\u306b\u65e5\u9280\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u304c\u958b\u50ac\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3001\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f2016\/07\/06\u3002<\/p>\n

2016\/07\/06\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u304c2016\/06\/24\uff08\u65e5\u9280\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u958b\u50ac\u65e5\uff09\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30925%\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u3001\u300c\u8fd1\u3005\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u56de\u3001\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u300d\u3068\u898b\u308b\u3068\u826f\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we survey the effect of N225 and BOJ extra meeting.<\/font><\/p>\n

Our conclusion is the effect of the meeting can confirm after 9 business days.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the meeting will be held in 06\/24\/2016, we can confirm the effect in 07\/06\/2016.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the close price in 07\/06\/2016 will be lower than the close price of 06\/24\/2016 (BOJ extra meeting day), we will consider \u201cThe effect was too weak and the meeting will be hold one more time\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u9280\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u306b\uff16\u56de\u958b\u50ac\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u958b\u50ac\u5f8c\u3001\u3057\u3070\u3089\u304f\u306e\u9593\u958b\u304b\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f4\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3001\u958b\u50ac\u5f8c\u307e\u305f\u3059\u3050\u306b\u958b\u50ac\u3055\u308c\u305f\u306e\u306f2\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

BOJ extra meeting was held 6 times in past.<\/font><\/p>\n

After holding the meeting, not held next meeting for some time was 4 patterns and held next meeting in short span was 2 patterns.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4f1a\u5408\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u3092100%\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u306f\u3001\u521d\u52d5\u306e9\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u30675%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u3068\u306f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u30d9\u30fc\u30b7\u30c3\u30af\u306a\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u306f\u300133\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u304b\u308949\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u306e\u3042\u305f\u308a\u304b\u3089\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u304c\u898b\u8fbc\u3081\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2016\/08\/10\uff0833\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\uff09\u304b\u30892016\/09\/02\uff0849\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\uff09\u306eDip zone\u306a\u3069\u304c\u8cb7\u3044\u5834\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u6642\u306fRecovery zone\u3067\u5e95\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u308c\u306f\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306b\u300cNY Gold\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u30fb\u300c\u53f3\u624b\u306b\u30de\u30c4\u30bf\u30b1\u3001\u5de6\u624b\u306b\u5ef6\u3079\u68d2\u300d\u30fb\u79cb\u306f\u91d1\u8cb7\u3044\u5834\u304b\uff1f\u300d\uff082016\/05\/19\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u53c2\u7167\uff09\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3088\u3046\u306a\u7d50\u8ad6\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We treat the close price of the meeting day as 100%.<\/font><\/p>\n

In effective pattern, the market price did not become lower than 95% in first nine business days.<\/font><\/p>\n

For example, we can expect the Dip zone from 33business days (08\/10\/2016) to 49 business days (09\/02\/2016).<\/font><\/p>\n

But after Lehman shock, the market price took the bottom at the Recovery zone.<\/font><\/p>\n

From \u201cHIGARA\u201d view, this conclusion is similar to \u201cNY Gold Long term; Autumn will be a good opportunity to buy\u201d (Reported in 05\/19\/2016).<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u306a\u3044\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u306f\u3001\u521d\u52d5\u306e9\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u30675%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u3068\u306f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306f\u7279\u5225\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u671f\u5f85\u3057\u3066\u3084\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306e\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ed2\u7530\u3055\u3093\u306f\u601d\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u300c\u306a\u3093\u3067\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u4e0a\u304c\u3093\u306a\u3044\u3093\u3060\u3088\uff5e\u3002\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\uff5e\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5927\u3088\u305d7\u6708\u306e\u6708\u521d\u3081\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u306b\u306f\u6ce8\u610f\u3092\u6255\u3044\u305f\u3044\u5c40\u9762\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

In non-effective pattern, the market price became lower than 95% over in first nine business days.<\/font><\/p>\n

The meaning of the extra meeting is for special return.<\/font><\/p>\n

Mr. Kuroda must think \u201cWhy N225 does not become rally?\u201d<\/font><\/p>\n

We need to notice price movement from now to the beginning of the next month.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068BOJ\u81e8\u6642\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u30fb\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u521d\u52d5\u306e\uff19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5 Effect of N225 and BOJ extra meeting; the effect can confirm after 9 business da […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10670"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10670\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10671,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10670\/revisions\/10671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}