{"id":11051,"date":"2016-08-31T17:12:46","date_gmt":"2016-08-31T08:12:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=11051"},"modified":"2016-08-31T17:12:46","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T08:12:46","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e9%80%b1%e8%b6%b3%e3%83%bb%e3%82%b8%e3%83%a0%e3%83%ad%e3%82%b8%e3%83%a3%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b9%e3%81%95%e3%82%93%e3%81%af%e3%80%8c%e7%b1%b3%e5%9b%bd%e6%a0%aa%e3%81%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=11051","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30b8\u30e0\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30b9\u3055\u3093\u306f\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u304c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30fb\u65e5\u672c\u682a\u3082\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u524d\u3068\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\/NIKKEI 225 week; Mr. Jim Rogers says “The U.S. Stock Market May Turn Into A Bubble” and Japanese stock is also. \/\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u5409\u59c6•\u7f57\u6770\u65af\uff08Jim Rogers\uff09\u5148\u751f\u8bf4\uff1b“\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u8f6c\u6210\u6ce1\u6cab”\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u524d\u9762\u7684\u6ce1\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30b8\u30e0\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30b9\u3055\u3093\u306f\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u304c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30fb\u65e5\u672c\u682a\u3082\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u524d\u3068\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

NIKKEI 225 week; Mr. Jim Rogers says \u201cThe U.S. Stock Market May Turn Into A Bubble\u201d and Japanese stock is also.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u5409\u59c6\u2022\u7f57\u6770\u65af\uff08Jim Rogers\uff09\u5148\u751f\u8bf4\uff1b\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u8f6c\u6210\u6ce1\u6cab\u201d\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u524d\u9762\u7684\u6ce1\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c225\u9031\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2016\/08\/29\u306b\u30b8\u30e0\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30b9\u3055\u3093\u306f\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u682a\u5f0f\u306f\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u300d\u3068\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3082\u305d\u3046\u3044\u3063\u305f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30b9\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300c\u3042\u308b\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u6df1\u3044\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u3092\u305b\u305a\u5e74\u672b18000\u5186\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3068\u30012017\u5e74\u306f\u4e00\u672c\u8abf\u5b50\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u3068\u306a\u308a\u30012017\u5e74\u672b\u306e\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u304c25000\u5186\u3068\u306a\u308b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u672b\u304b\u3089\u5e74\u521d\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u5931\u901f\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6765\u5e74\u306f15000\u5186\u3092\u5272\u308c\u3001\u66f4\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3078\u5411\u304b\u3046\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today is about N225 weekly.<\/font><\/p>\n

In 08\/29\/2016, Mr. Jim Rogers reported \u201cThe U.S. Stock Market May Turn Into A Bubble\u201d in his Blog.<\/font><\/p>\n

We survived the similar possibility in Japanese stock market.<\/font><\/p>\n

Our conclusion is \u201cJapanese stock market has similar possibility to U.S.\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

And there needs some prerequisites; the market will not become big fall and will become 18000yen around and 2017 will be bull market and the price will reach at 25000yen around at the end of the year.<\/font><\/p>\n

But if the market will fall from the end of this year to the beginning of the next year, the market price will cut 15000yen again and will be more fall.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2016\/01\/09\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u300c\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u8db3\u306e\u5206\u6790\uff083\uff09\u30fb\u5e74\u521d\u7b2c\u4e00\u9031\u306e\u30d1\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b9\u5206\u6790\u30fb\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306f\u843d\u3063\u3053\u3061\u308b\u7cfb\u304b\uff1f\u300d\u3067\u306f\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u3067\u3042\u308c\u307017697.96\u5186\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5024\u6bb5\u3092\u5fc3\u306b\u523b\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305f\u30012016\/7\/3\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u300cTOPIX\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3P&F\uff1b 1997-1998\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u623b\u308a\u304c16000\u5186\u53f0\u5f8c\u534a\u306a\u3089\u672c\u5f53\u306b\u30bd\u30c3\u30af\u30ea\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u3082\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u7d19\u4e00\u91cd\u3068\u611f\u3058\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We reported \u201cThis is 17697.96 yen in this year. We need to remind it\u201d in our report \u201cNIKKEI 225 annual No.3; the performance of the first week analysis; Later in this year may be falling.\u201d (See 01\/09\/2016<\/a>)<\/font><\/p>\n

And we reported \u201cTOPIX (Tokyo stock Price Index) and N225 Daily P&F; Now is similar to 1997-1998 market and the price may recover 16000yen high\u201d in 7\/3\/2016.<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n

The price movement is a very fine line.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u306f\u3058\u3081\u306b1950\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306eRetar INDEX\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2016\/06\u306e\u5e95\u306f\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u306e\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u306e\u30a4\u30fc\u30d6\u30f3\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3059\u308b\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5730\u70b9\u306f\u5e95\u5805\u304f\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u904e\u53bb\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305f\u3060\u3057\u30011962\/10\u306e\u5e95\u306e\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5931\u901f\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

This is Retar Index chart after 1950.<\/font><\/p>\n

06\/2016 was even point in mid-to-long term valuation and the market price was well supported at this point.<\/font><\/p>\n

But in 1962, the market price felled.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u30a4\u30f3\u30c7\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u306e\u5e95\u5024\u306e\u9031\u672b\u7d42\u5024\u3092100%\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057\u30012016\/06\u3092\u5e95\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u304c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u524d\u591c\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u5e95\u5272\u308c\u305b\u305a\u306b\u300c\u7d50\u69cb\u9811\u5f35\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3058\u3083\u3093\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e15000\u5186\u3092\u30ad\u30fc\u30d7\u3067\u304d\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u904b\u547d\u306e\u5206\u304b\u308c\u9053\u3068\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u306a\u306e\u304c\u30012016\/06\u672b\u304b\u3089\u306e26\u9031\u3092\u8fce\u3048\u308b2016\u5e74\u672b\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u5e74\u3092\u5883\u306b\u5931\u901f\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u30011962\u5e74\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u3068\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u5e74\u672b\u306f15000\u5186\u5272\u308c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e74\u672b18000\u5186\u8d85\u3048\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u7fcc\u5e74\u672b\u306f25000\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u6607\u7adc\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u79d8\u3081\u305f\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u3082\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u524d\u591c\u306e\u597d\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We tread the weekly close price in Retar Index lowest point as 100%.<\/font><\/p>\n

If 06\/2016 was the major bottom and now is the starting of bubble, the latest price seems to keep good position.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the market price will keep 15000yen, the next junction will be at the end of this year. (26weeks from 06\/2016)<\/font><\/p>\n

If the market price will at the beginning of the next year, the market price will follow 1962 pattern and will cut 15000yen.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the market price will cut 18000yen over at the end of the year, there is some possibility of the market price may reach 25000yen over at the end of 2017.<\/font><\/p>\n

After all, Japanese stock market keeps good position popping bubble.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"3\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"4\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"5\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"6\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30b8\u30e0\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30b9\u3055\u3093\u306f\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u304c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3082\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30fb\u65e5\u672c\u682a\u3082\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u524d\u3068\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059 NIKKEI 225 week; Mr. Jim Rogers says \u201cThe U.S. Stock Ma […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11051","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11051"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11051\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11052,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11051\/revisions\/11052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11051"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11051"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11051"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}