{"id":12821,"date":"2017-06-08T13:52:56","date_gmt":"2017-06-08T04:52:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=12821"},"modified":"2017-06-08T13:52:56","modified_gmt":"2017-06-08T04:52:56","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e3%83%bb%e9%81%8e%e5%8e%bb%e3%82%92%e3%81%aa%e3%81%9e%e3%82%8b%e3%81%aa%e3%82%8920000%e5%86%86%e8%b6%85%e3%81%ae%e5%80%a4%e3%82%82%e3%81%a1%e3%81%af%e3%81%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=12821","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u3092\u306a\u305e\u308b\u306a\u308920000\u5186\u8d85\u306e\u5024\u3082\u3061\u306f\u3069\u3093\u306a\u306b\u9577\u304f\u3066\u3082\u4eca\u5e7410\u6708\u672b\u307e\u3067\uff1f\u30fb20200\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u3089\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3048\u305aLong\/ N225 historically; keeping 20000yen over may be end of October at longest; 20200yen over will be buying opportunity. \/\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u4fdd\u630120000\u65e5\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u662f10\u6708\u5e95\u6700\u957f\u7684\u300220200\u65e5\u5143\u5c06\u4f1a\u4e70\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u3092\u306a\u305e\u308b\u306a\u308920000\u5186\u8d85\u306e\u5024\u3082\u3061\u306f\u3069\u3093\u306a\u306b\u9577\u304f\u3066\u3082\u4eca\u5e7410\u6708\u672b\u307e\u3067\uff1f\u30fb20200\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u3089\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3048\u305aLong<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>N225 historically; keeping 20000yen over may be end of October at longest; 20200yen over will be buying opportunity.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u4fdd\u630120000\u65e5\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u662f10\u6708\u5e95\u6700\u957f\u7684\u300220200\u65e5\u5143\u5c06\u4f1a\u4e70\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb20000\u5186\u8d85\u3048\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u898b\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u300c\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u3067\u306f\u682a\u6b32\u3057\u304f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\u300d\u3068\u601d\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Today is about N225.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We surveyed past 20000yen over points.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Our conclusion is we do not want to take long position from mid-to-long term view.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>1997\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u300120000\u5186\u8d85\u3048\u306e\u5c40\u9762\u306f1997\u5e74\u30012000\u5e74\u30012015\u5e74\u3068\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5c40\u9762\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1997\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306f21000\u5186\u624b\u524d\u306b\u30ac\u30e9\u30b9\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>21000\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5bb9\u6613\u306b\u60f3\u50cf\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">After 1997, 20000yen over phase were 4 times including the latest occasion.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We can see glass ceiling at 21000yen around.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">And this means 21000yen over will have many difficulty.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart1-4.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart1\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart1_thumb-4.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"404\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u5e74\u3067\u306e20000\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306e\u65e5\u8db3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306b20000\u5186\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304b\u3089\u300120000\u5186\u8d85\u304b\u3089\u672c\u683c\u7684\u306b\u4e0b\u96e2\u308c\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306e\u65e5\u6570\u3092\u8abf\u3079\u308b\u3068\u3001\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d100\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306b20000\u5186\u8d85\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f2017\/6\/2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u300150\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u5024\u3082\u3061\u3059\u308b\u30688\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u3001100\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u5024\u3082\u3061\u3059\u308b\u306810\u6708\u672b\u3050\u3089\u3044\u307e\u3067\u306b\u4e0b\u96e2\u308c\u3059\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are each year of the chart cutting over 20000yen.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We can know relating 20000yen over was less than 100 business days; we can plot only 100 bar chart!<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">In the latest market, the first day cutting over 20000yen was 6\/2\/2017.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Applying this to the latest market, 50 business days is mid-August and 100 business days is at the end of October and the price will start falling until then.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u70b9\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u70b9\u306f\u7d42\u502420200\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u5730\u70b9\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306b\u7d42\u502420200\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3072\u3068\u307e\u305a\u4e0a\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u306e\u82bd\u304c\u3067\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The other notable point is cutting 20200 yen in close price.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The first point cutting 20200 yen in close price, rally was started and this was a chance.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>2015\u5e74\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u7279\u6b8a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>12\u6708\u306b2\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3060\u305120000\u5186\u8d85\u3048\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">2015 was irregular pattern.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">There were 2 business days cutting over 20000 yen in December.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart2-4.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart2\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart2_thumb-4.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart3-4.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart3\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart3\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart3_thumb-4.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"398\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart4-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart4\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart4_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"395\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart5-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart5\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart5\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/chart5_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"393\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u3092\u306a\u305e\u308b\u306a\u308920000\u5186\u8d85\u306e\u5024\u3082\u3061\u306f\u3069\u3093\u306a\u306b\u9577\u304f\u3066\u3082\u4eca\u5e7410\u6708\u672b\u307e\u3067\uff1f\u30fb20200\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u3089\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3048\u305aLong N225 historically; keeping 20000yen over may b [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12821"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12821\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12822,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12821\/revisions\/12822"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}