{"id":15273,"date":"2018-04-04T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-04-03T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15273"},"modified":"2018-04-04T07:46:32","modified_gmt":"2018-04-03T22:46:32","slug":"%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e5%86%86%e4%b8%ad%e9%95%b7%e6%9c%9f%e3%83%bb%e3%83%88%e3%83%ac%e3%83%b3%e3%83%89%e3%83%a9%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%bb%e3%80%8c110-109%e5%86%86%e5%8f%b0%e3%81%8b%e3%82%89%e3%81%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15273","title":{"rendered":"\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u300c110-109\u5186\u53f0\u304b\u3089\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u300d\u3092\u72d9\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u3082\u3046\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\uff1f \u96e2\u308c\u306f\uff16\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\uff1f\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u300c110-109\u5186\u53f0\u304b\u3089\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u300d\u3092\u72d9\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u3082\u3046\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\uff1f \u96e2\u308c\u306f\uff16\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\uff1f\uff1f<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>USDJPY mid-to-long term; we expected \u201d selling from 110yen around to 109 yen around\u201d but it may not come true; down side breaking may start in mid-June?<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u3002\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u201c\u5356\u4ece110\u65e5\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u5230109\u65e5\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002 \u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57286\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20180302\" target=\"_blank\">\u300c\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u30fb\u72d9\u3046\u306f110-109\u5186\u53f0\u304b\u3089\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u30fb111\u5186\u53f0\u306b\u4e57\u305b\u305f\u3089\u898b\u901a\u3057\u5909\u66f4\u300d(2018\/3\/2)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We reported \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20180302\" target=\"_blank\">USDJPY mid-to-long term; selling from 110yen around to 109 yen around will be great opportunity. Going 111yen over, we will change our mind\u201d in 3\/2\/2018.<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u30d0\u30ea\u30d0\u30ea\u306e\u5186\u9ad8\u6d3e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u623b\u308a\u5929\u4e95\u304c\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\u304c\u5b8c\u4e86\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u7591\u3044\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3082\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u3001109-110\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u307e\u3067\u306e\u623b\u308a\u304c\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u7d0d\u5f97\u306e\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u307f\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6bce\u9031\u5831\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b112\u5186\u53f0\u306e\u7a93\uff082018\/4\/1\uff09\u307e\u3067\u306e\u623b\u308a\u306f\u307e\u305a\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u4e2d\u306b\u5b9f\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300c\u65b0\u6a5f\u8ef8\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e102\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3078\u306e\u4e0b\u30526\u5272\u3001109-110\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u307e\u3067\u306e\u623b\u30574\u5272\u3001\u30c6\u30fc\u30eb\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u3057\u3066112\u5186\u307e\u3067\u306e\u623b\u3057\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u611f\u899a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We are Yen longer but we cannot predict proper recovery high.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Now may have already taken major high.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If the price will recover 109-110yen around this occasion will be reasonable.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">But recovering 112yen around seems to be difficult and is it will come true, we need to rebuild our mind.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We can provide 3 types of scenario; main is directly fall at 102yen around (60%) and secondary is recovering 109-110yen around and fall (40%) and third is recovery to 112yen. (Tail Risk)<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>300\u624b\u306e\u6708\u8db3\u7dda\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d64\u3068\u9752\u306b\u631f\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b9f\u306f\u73cd\u3057\u3044\u73fe\u8c61\u3067\u3042\u308a\u30012003\u5e74\u306b\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u304c\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3088\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">This is 300 months chart.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The price is running between red and blue lines.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Similar case occurred in 2003.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">When trend line style is similar, price movement often becomes similar.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart1_conv-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart1_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart1_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart1_conv_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"390\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u3064\u306f\u7dd1\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0b\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u30ba\u30d3\u30e7\u30d3\u30e7\u30d3\u30e7\u30d3\u30e7\u3068\u4e0b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u304f\u6642\u306e\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u65e6\u3001\u5272\u308c\u305f\u5f8c\u306b\u623b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068100\u5186\u3050\u3089\u3044\u306b\u30bf\u30c3\u30c1\u3057\u3066\u304b\u3089\u623b\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e74\u524d\u534a\u306b100\u5186\u304c\u5e95\u3068\u8a00\u3046\u306e\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u3057\u3063\u304f\u308a\u304f\u308b\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The other point of view is green line.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">After cutting it and the price recovered.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Applying to the latest market, the price seems to reach 100yen and recover.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The price will reach the latter half of the year and this will be reasonable.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart2_conv-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart2_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart2_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart2_conv_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"394\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u9031\u8db3\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2003\u5e74\u306e\u6642\u306f\u8d64\u3044\u7dda\u3092\u5272\u308c\u3066\u304b\u3089\u300119\u9031\u3067\u30ba\u30c9\u30f3\u3068\u304d\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306f\u4e0a\u5024\u304c\u91cd\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u30016\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">This is weekly chart.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">In 2003 case, cutting red line and steadiness continued for some time and big fell occurred in 19 weeks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Applying this occasion to the latest market, this will be mid-June.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart3_conv-2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart3_conv\" style=\"border-top: 0px; border-right: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart3_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart3_conv_thumb-2.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"399\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart4_conv.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart4_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart4_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/chart4_conv_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"405\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u30fb\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u300c110-109\u5186\u53f0\u304b\u3089\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u300d\u3092\u72d9\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u3082\u3046\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\uff1f \u96e2\u308c\u306f\uff16\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\uff1f\uff1f USDJPY mid-to-long term; we expected \u201d selling from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-usdjpy","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15273"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15273\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15277,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15273\/revisions\/15277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}