{"id":15567,"date":"2018-05-09T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-05-08T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15567"},"modified":"2018-05-07T19:33:57","modified_gmt":"2018-05-07T10:33:57","slug":"%e7%b1%b3%e3%83%80%e3%82%a6%e5%b7%a5%e6%a5%ad%e6%a0%aa%e6%9c%88%e8%b6%b3100%e5%b9%b4%ef%bc%88%ef%bc%91%ef%bc%89%e3%83%bb%e4%bb%8a%e3%81%a8%e3%81%aa%e3%81%a3%e3%81%a6%e3%81%af1929%e3%82%84%e3%83%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15567","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff08\uff11\uff09\u30fb\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f1929\u3084\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306f&ldquo;\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\u30a4&rdquo;\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u611f\u3058\u308b\u30fb2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u7206\u9a30\u611f\u6e80\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff08\uff11\uff09\u30fb\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f1929\u3084\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306f\u201c\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\u30a4\u201d\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u611f\u3058\u308b\u30fb2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u7206\u9a30\u611f\u6e80\u70b9<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly; using 100years data\uff08\uff11\uff09; we fell falling in 1929 and Lehman shock were trivial fall and after 2016 is great rally.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\u3002100\u5e74\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff081\uff09\u3002\u56de\u60f3\u8d77\u67651929\u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc\u548c\u96f7\u66fc\u9707\u8361\u5219\u5fae\u4e0d\u8db3\u9053\u3002\u57282016\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u662f\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u53cd\u5f39,\u7136\u540e\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f100\u5e74\u5206\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u89b3\u5bdf\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f3\u7b49\u5206\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u304a\u3059\u3059\u3081\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Today\u2019s analyze is Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Our conclusion is when we analyze 100years, we should divide in 3 charts.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>100\u5e74\u5206\uff081200\u30f6\u6708\uff09\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6539\u3081\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u6642\u3068\u5171\u306b\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u30011929\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u306f\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u3057\u305f\u30b3\u30d6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u306f\u30e2\u30f3\u30c7\u3044\u305f\u6642\u4ee3\u3001\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306f1980\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u307f\u3048\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">This is 100years chart. (1200months)<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We can know past peaks were trivial peaks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">For example, 1929 was a small bump.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">And 1970\u2019s was steadiness zone and the price was moved only after 1980.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart1_conv-3.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart1_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart1_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart1_conv_thumb-3.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"397\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>400\u30f6\u6708\u3054\u3068\u306b\u5206\u5272\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1929\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u3082\u4e0b\u3052\u3082\u3001\u30e4\u30d0\u3044\u4e0b\u3052\u3060\u3063\u305f\u70b9\u304c\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u306f\u3082\u307f\u5408\u3044\u3068\u306f\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u534a\u5024\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f1987\u30012000\u30012007\u30012015\u5e74\u306a\u3069\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f\u30ab\u30ef(\u30fb\u2200\u30fb)\u30a4\u30a4!!\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u898b\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3061\u308d\u3093\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u3082\u5927\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are 400 month\u2019s chart.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We can know 1929 was great sharp up and down.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">In 1970\u2019s, the price got the half price from the highest.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The latest fall were trivial such as 1987, 2000, 2007 and 2015.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Of course, the latest rally is big one.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart2_conv-2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart2_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart2_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart2_conv_thumb-2.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"397\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart3_conv-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart3_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart3_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart3_conv_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"399\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart4_conv-1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart4_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart4_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart4_conv_thumb-1.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"401\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.retar.jp:443\/reporttableModels\">\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff08\uff11\uff09\u30fb\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f1929\u3084\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306f\u201c\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\u30a4\u201d\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u611f\u3058\u308b\u30fb2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u7206\u9a30\u611f\u6e80\u70b9 Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-dow-jones-industrial-average"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15567","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15567"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15567\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15568,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15567\/revisions\/15568"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}