{"id":15575,"date":"2018-05-10T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-05-09T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15575"},"modified":"2018-05-07T19:51:01","modified_gmt":"2018-05-07T10:51:01","slug":"%e7%b1%b3%e3%83%80%e3%82%a6%e5%b7%a5%e6%a5%ad%e6%a0%aa%e6%9c%88%e8%b6%b3100%e5%b9%b4%ef%bc%882%ef%bc%89%e3%83%bb%e6%97%a5%e6%9f%84%e7%9a%84%e3%81%aa%e6%9c%ac%e5%bd%93%e3%81%ae%e6%84%8f%e5%91%b3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15575","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff082\uff09\u30fb\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306a\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306e\u7206\u4e0b\u3052\u306f1929\u5e74\u30682000\u5e74\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff082\uff09\u30fb\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306a\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306e\u7206\u4e0b\u3052\u306f1929\u5e74\u30682000\u5e74\uff1f<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly; using 100years data\uff082\uff09; From \u201cHIGARA\u201d view, true falling was only 1929 and 2000.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\u3002100\u5e74\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff082\uff09\u3002\u4ece\u201c\u65e5\u67c4\u201d\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5,\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5c31\u662f1929\u5e74\u548c2000\u5e74\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u672c\u7269\u4e0b\u3052\u306f1929\u5e74\u30682000\u5e74\u3060\u3051\u30011987\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u306f\u62bc\u3057\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>2018\/04\u306f2015\/07\u304b\u3089\u306e34\u30f6\u6708\u30012020\/09\u306f2018\/01\u3082\u307e\u305f34\u30f6\u6708\u3001\u3055\u3066\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Out conclusion is true collapse were 1929 and 2000 and 1987 and 2007 were only dip.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">04\/2018 was 34 months from 07\/2015 and 09\/2020 will also 34 months from 01\/2018.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">What will happen in this market?<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20180509\">\u300c\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff08\uff11\uff09\u30fb\u4eca\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f1929\u3084\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306f\u201c\u30b7\u30e7\u30dc\u30a4\u201d\u4e0b\u3052\u306b\u611f\u3058\u308b\u30fb2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u7206\u9a30\u611f\u6e80\u70b9\u300d(2018\/5\/9)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We reported \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?m=20180509\">Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly; using 100years data\uff08\uff11\uff09; we fell falling in 1929 and Lehman shock were trivial fall and after 2016 is great rally\u201d in 5\/9\/2018.<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>1929\u30682000\u5e74\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306f\u300134\u30f6\u6708\u3067\u5e95\u3092\u3064\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u5916\u306f\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u524d\u306b\u30dc\u30c8\u30e0\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\uff08\u661f\u306e\u5730\u70b9\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u300134\u30f6\u6708\u5468\u671f\u304b\u3089\u3001\u66f4\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u3068\u306f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\uff08\u4e8c\u91cd\u4e38\uff09<\/p>\n<p>1987\u5e74\u30822007\u5e74\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u308234\u30f6\u6708\u3092\u524d\u306b\u30dc\u30c8\u30e0\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u30bf\u30a4\u30d7\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">The bottom was taken in 34months in 1929 and 2000.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Other points, the major bottom was take before 34 months. (Starts)<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">And the price took lower from 34 months over but it was just little. (Double circle)<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">In 1987 and 2007 pattern, the price took the bottom before 34 months.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>2018\/01\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u304c\u30e1\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3060\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u3079\u304d\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f2\u3064\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2020\/09\u306b\u5927\u5e95\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u304b\u30012020\/09\u3092\u524d\u306b\u5927\u5e95\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u304b\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f8c\u8005\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u5e95\u306f\u6d45\u3044\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If 01\/2018 were the major peak, we can estimate two scenarios.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">9\/2020 will be the major bottom or bottom out.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If the later scenario will come true, the lower after that will be a little one.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart1_conv-4.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart1_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart1_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart1_conv_thumb-4.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"397\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart2_conv-3.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart2_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart2_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart2_conv_thumb-3.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"398\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart3_conv-2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart3_conv\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart3_conv\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/chart3_conv_thumb-2.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.retar.jp:443\/reporttableModels\">\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u6708\u8db3100\u5e74\uff082\uff09\u30fb\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306a\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306e\u7206\u4e0b\u3052\u306f1929\u5e74\u30682000\u5e74\uff1f Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Monthly; using 100years data\uff082 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-dow-jones-industrial-average"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15575","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15575"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15575\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15576,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15575\/revisions\/15576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}