{"id":15893,"date":"2018-06-20T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-06-19T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15893"},"modified":"2018-06-16T20:18:55","modified_gmt":"2018-06-16T11:18:55","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e3%83%bb1996%e5%b9%b4%e3%80%812000%e5%b9%b4%e3%80%812007%e5%b9%b4%e3%80%812015%e5%b9%b4%e3%81%ae%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%a9%e4%ba%95%e3%81%a8%e3%81%ae%e6%af%94%e8%bc%83-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=15893","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb1996\u5e74\u30012000\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u30012015\u5e74\u306e\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300c\u6389\u5c3e\u306e\u4e00\u632f\u300d\u306b\u671f\u5f85\u3060\u304c\u30015\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u304b\u3089\u306e\u623b\u308a\u306b\u5f31\u3055\u304c\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u671f\u5f85\u8584"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb1996\u5e74\u30012000\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u30012015\u5e74\u306e\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300c\u6389\u5c3e\u306e\u4e00\u632f\u300d\u306b\u671f\u5f85\u3060\u304c\u30015\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u304b\u3089\u306e\u623b\u308a\u306b\u5f31\u3055\u304c\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u671f\u5f85\u8584<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Nikkei 225; comparing 1996, 2000, 2007 and 2015 peaks; if the price will follow 2007 price movement, we can expect \u201cTOUBI NO ISSHIN\u201d; but recovery becomes weak form mid-May.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u6bd4\u8f83\u73b0\u5728\u548c1996\u5e74\uff0c2000\u5e74\uff0c2007\u5e74\uff0c2015\u5e74\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ece5\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u4ee5\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5f31,\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u80fd\u671f\u5f85\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u5b66\u7fd2\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u300c23000\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306f\u9676\u9154\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u300d\u3089\u3057\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5929\u4e95\u3092\u6253\u3064\u524d\u3068\u3001\u6253\u3063\u305f\u3042\u3068\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5929\u4e95\u3092\u6253\u3064\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n

We studied \u201c23000yen over is euphoria\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We verify after peaked out and before peaked out.<\/font><\/p>\n

Today is before peaked out.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3055\u3066\u3001\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5929\u4e95\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u65b0\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u8b70\u8ad6\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u980325000\u5186\u3050\u3089\u3044\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308c\u3070\u826f\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3060\u3051\u306e\u8a71\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Now, we survey close price based new high in past market.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the price is 25000yen over now, we do not need to argue.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart1_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5929\u4e95\u570f\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u65b0\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3063\u305f\u3042\u3068\u306b\u6b21\u306e\u65b0\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3068\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3069\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u65e5\u6570\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u304b\u8abf\u3079\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f42\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u4ee5\u5185\u306b\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u65b0\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3089\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u7591\u3063\u3066\u3082\u826f\u3044\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u4f8b\u5916\u3082\u3042\u308a\u300179\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u623b\u3057\u305f1999\u5e74\u306e\u4f8b\u3084\u3001210\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u623b\u3057\u305f2007\u5e74\u306e\u4f8b\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We survived how many days does it need taking new high in the next peak.<\/font><\/p>\n

Our conclusion is if the price does not take new high within 42 business days, we can doubt rally.<\/font><\/p>\n

But there were some exceptions; in 1999 and 2007 cases.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"1996_conv\"<\/a>\"2000_conv\"<\/a>\"2007_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"2015_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u300142\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3068\u306f\u5e95\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u3042\u308a\u300179\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u5909\u5316\u3057\u305f\u70b9\u304c\u30012007\u5e74\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3082\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u30012007\u5e74\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u7570\u306a\u308b\u306e\u306f\u300179\u624b\u306e\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u4ed8\u8fd1\u304c\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f23000\u5186\u4ed8\u8fd1\u304c\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Applying to this occasion to the latest market, 42 business days were bottom around and 79 business days were \u201cHENKA\u201d zone and this is similar to 2007 case.<\/font><\/p>\n

79 business days worked as support zone in 2007 but is not so.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"2018_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"2007-02_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u30fb1996\u5e74\u30012000\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u30012015\u5e74\u306e\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u3068\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300c\u6389\u5c3e\u306e\u4e00\u632f\u300d\u306b\u671f\u5f85\u3060\u304c\u30015\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u304b\u3089\u306e\u623b\u308a\u306b\u5f31\u3055\u304c\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u671f\u5f85\u8584 Nikkei 225; comparing 19 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15893"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15893\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15894,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15893\/revisions\/15894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}