{"id":16212,"date":"2018-07-26T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-07-25T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16212"},"modified":"2018-07-24T14:07:19","modified_gmt":"2018-07-24T05:07:19","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e3%81%a8topix%e3%83%bb%e3%83%96%e3%83%ac%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%83%9d%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%88%e3%82%92%e3%81%bf%e3%81%a4%e3%81%91%e3%82%8b%e3%81%9f%e3%82%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16212","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068TOPIX\u30fb\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u307f\u3064\u3051\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5408\u308f\u305b\u6280\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068TOPIX\u30fb\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u307f\u3064\u3051\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5408\u308f\u305b\u6280\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

N225 and TOPIX; How to find out the break point by trend lines.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u548c\u4e1c\u8bc1\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u627e\u51fa\u7531\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u70b9\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305fTOPIX\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u6027\u8cea\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u624b\u6cd5\u306f\u300c\u4f3c\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306a\u52d5\u304d\u3060\u3051\u3069\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u9055\u3046\u300d\u3068\u304d\u306b\u306f\u5927\u5909\u6709\u52b9\u306a\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u304c\u300c\u4f7f\u3048\u306a\uff5e\u3044\u300d\u3068\u601d\u3046\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u304a\u8a66\u3057\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we introduce TOPIX and N225 relation using trend line.<\/font><\/p>\n

This method often well works in similar price movement.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7d4c225\u65e5\u8db3\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c3\u70b9\u652f\u3048\u3060\u3057\uff5e\u3001\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u308924000\u5186\u3058\u3083\u30fc\u3093\u300d\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7dda\u304c\u300c\u30c0\u30de\u30b7\u81ed\u3044\u300d\u7406\u7531\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This is N225 trend line analysis.<\/font><\/p>\n

Today, we introduce why this line seems to be fake line.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart1_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

TOPIX\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u3092\u540c\u3058\u30b5\u30a4\u30ba\u3067\u3001\u540c\u3058\u672c\u6570\u306e\u8db3\u3092\u4e0a\u4e0b\u4e00\u676f\u306b\u3057\u3066\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u66f8\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u753b\u9762\u3044\u3063\u3071\u3044\u306b\u63cf\u3044\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u7387\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u307f\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3060\u3068\u540c\u3058\u306b\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u5165\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3001\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u5206\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

First, we draw N225 and TOPIX chart in same days and same size.<\/font><\/p>\n

So we can compare the falling and rising ratio.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2007\u5e74\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e600\u624b\u306e\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

TOPIX\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001A\u5730\u70b9\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3067\u30bf\u30c3\u30c1\u3057\u30663\u70b9\u652f\u3048\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001N225\u3067\u306f\u30bf\u30c3\u30c1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u3053\u304b\u3089\u308f\u304b\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001TOPIX\u306e\u4e0b\u3052\u65b9\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3001\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001TOPIX\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306f\u5229\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

B\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3067\u3082TOPIX\u306f\u30bf\u30c3\u30c1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u306b\u3001N225\u3067\u306f\u30bf\u30c3\u30c1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306fN225\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306fTOPIX\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0b\u3052\u3066\u3001\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u3042\u304c\u308b\u50be\u5411\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

These are 600 business days chart in 2007.<\/font><\/p>\n

We can know TOPIX touched three times but N225 did not touch at \u201cA\u201d point.<\/font><\/p>\n

So we can know TOPIX felled more but support worked.<\/font><\/p>\n

At \u201cB\u201d point, TOPIX did not touch the outer resistance but N225 touched.<\/font><\/p>\n

We can N225 raise more than TOPIX.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we can conduct this; in falling phase, TOPIX falls more and in rising phase, N225 rise more.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart2_conv\"<\/a>\"chart3_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2018\u5e74\u306e600\u624b\u306e\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

A\u5730\u70b9\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8d64\u3044\u7dda\u306f\u3088\u304f\u5229\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

B\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001N225\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001TOPIX\u3067\u306f\u6291\u3048\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30012007\u5e74\u306e\u50be\u5411\u304b\u3089\u308f\u304b\u3063\u305f\u300cN225\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u826f\u304f\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u300d\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9069\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300123000\u5186\u4ed8\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306f\u30c0\u30de\u30b7\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305f\u3001C\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001TOPIX\u306f\u6700\u5916\u90ed\u5272\u308c\u3092\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001N225\u3067\u306f\u5c4a\u304d\u3082\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c3\u70b9\u652f\u3048\u300d\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\uff082012\/12\/31\uff09<\/a>\u3092\u9069\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u3068TOPIX\u306f\u610f\u5473\u3042\u308b\u5f31\u6c17\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3092\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305f\u3001\u300c\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306fTOPIX\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u300d\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u9069\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001N225\u306eC\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u300c\u4e0b\u3052\u3089\u308c\u305a\u306e\u53cd\u8ee2\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u30a2\u30e4\u623b\u3057\u300d\u81ed\u3055\u304c\u6e80\u70b9\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

These are 600 business days chart in 2018.<\/font><\/p>\n

Red line worked well at \u201cA\u201d point.<\/font><\/p>\n

At \u201cB\u201d point, N225 cut the blue line but TOPIX did not cut it.<\/font><\/p>\n

Applying \u201cN225 sharp jumping rule\u201d, rising to 23000yen around may be fake.<\/font><\/p>\n

And TOPIX cut the most outer support at \u201cC\u201d point but N225 did not be so.<\/font><\/p>\n

Applying \u201cThree point support\u201d rule (See 12\/31\/2012),<\/a> TOPIX may have already become bear market.<\/font><\/p>\n

And applying \u201cTOPIX fall much more\u201d rule, N225 recovery at \u201cC\u201d point may be \u201cBear market rally\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u300c\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u305f\u3081\u300d\u307e\u305f\u306f\u300c\u4e0b\u3052\u306a\u3044\u300d\u306e\u8981\u4ef6\u3082\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

B\u5730\u70b9\u3067N225\u304c\u6700\u5916\u90ed\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7406\u7531\u3092\u6b63\u5f53\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b69\u306fTOPIX\u304c\u9752\u3044\u7dda\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u751f\u3058\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001N225\u304c\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u7dd1\u306e\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001TOPIX\u304c\u9752\u3044\u7dda\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u65b9\u304c\u610f\u5473\u306e\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3068\u306f\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001TOPIX\u304cC\u5730\u70b9\u3067\u4e0b\u629c\u3051\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u70b9\u3082\u8a55\u4fa1\u3055\u308c\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\u611f\u304c\u6fc3\u539a\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We can provide \u201cNot falling\u201d or \u201cStart of rally\u201d conditions.<\/font><\/p>\n

This theory need to explain N225 cuts the resistance at \u201cB\u201d point.<\/font><\/p>\n

And this means TOPIX will need to cut the blue line.<\/font><\/p>\n

It will be meaningful TOPIX cuts blue line than N225 cuts green line.<\/font><\/p>\n

But TOPIX has already cut the red line at \u201cC\u201d point and this occasion seems to mean steadiness.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart4_conv\"<\/a>\"chart5_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3068TOPIX\u30fb\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u307f\u3064\u3051\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5408\u308f\u305b\u6280\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5 N225 and TOPIX; How to find out the break point by trend lines. \u65e5\u7ecf2 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,3,34,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-topix","category-report","category-analyzing-way","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16212"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16212\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16213,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16212\/revisions\/16213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}