{"id":16781,"date":"2018-10-23T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-22T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16781"},"modified":"2018-10-21T16:52:18","modified_gmt":"2018-10-21T07:52:18","slug":"%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e5%86%86%e3%81%a8%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c225%e3%81%ae%e9%96%a2%e9%80%a3%e6%80%a7%e3%81%8b%e3%82%89%e3%81%99%e3%82%8b%e3%81%a8%e3%80%81%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c225%e3%81%8c3%e4%b8%87%e5%86%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16781","title":{"rendered":"\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c225\u304c3\u4e07\u5186\u8d85\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u306f130\u5186\u53f0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u304c\u5fc5\u8981?\u30fb\u3042\u306815\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u3068\u306f\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3001\u3084\u3063\u3071\u308a30000\u5186\u306f\u9060\u3044"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c225\u304c3\u4e07\u5186\u8d85\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u306f130\u5186\u53f0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u304c\u5fc5\u8981?\u30fb\u3042\u306815\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u3068\u306f\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3001\u3084\u3063\u3071\u308a30000\u5186\u306f\u9060\u3044<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

USDJPY and N225 Relation; if N225 will be 30000yen over, USDJPY will need 130yen around at least.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u201c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u201d\u548c\u201d\u65e5\u7ecf225\u201d\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u6210\u4e3a\u65e5\u7ecf225\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc730000\u65e5\u5143\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u5c06\u81f3\u5c11\u9700\u8981130\u65e5\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u682a\u306b\u5f37\u6c17\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a33\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u304c30000\u5186\u306b\u306a\u308c\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3092\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u304b\u3089\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

We are not bullish in stock market but we survey 30000yen over in N225 market and the relation between USDJPY.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u3092\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u5927\u5909\u306b\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u305f\u307e\u307e\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u304c30000\u5186\u306b\u306a\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001130\u5186\u53f0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u306b\u306a\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3084\u3063\u3071\u308a30000\u5186\u306f\u8fd1\u304f\u3066\u9060\u3044\u3093\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we analyze the relation between USDJPY and N225.<\/font><\/p>\n

Our conclusion is it will be very difficult and if N225 will be 30000yen over, USDJPY will need 130yen over at least.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7e26\u8ef8\u306b\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306eNY Close\u3001\u6a2a\u8ef8\u306b\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u306e\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2008\u5e74\u304b\u30892018\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5168\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u3066\u3001\u8fd1\u4f3c\u66f2\u7dda\u3092\u5165\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u53f3\u80a9\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5186\u5b89\u306b\u306a\u308c\u3070\u682a\u306f\u3042\u304c\u308b\u95a2\u4fc2\u304c\u307f\u3066\u3068\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd1\u4f3c\u66f2\u7dda\u306f\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u306e\u30e1\u30a4\u30f3\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u306a\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u65e5\u7d4c225\u304c30000\u5186\u306b\u5230\u9054\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306f150\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u307e\u3067\u5186\u5b89\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3044\u3051\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

We plot USDJPY and N225 relation on the chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we add approximate curve on the chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

We can see when yen becomes weak, N225 gets higher.<\/font><\/p>\n

According to this analyze, when N225 is 30000yen over, USDJPY needs 150yen around.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart1_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2016-2018\u5e74\u306e\u9593\u3060\u3051\u3092\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

2017\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u304b\u3089\u300c\u5343\u5207\u308c\u96f2\u300d\u307f\u305f\u3044\u306a\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u793a\u73fe\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u76f8\u95a2\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\u5909\u308f\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u307b\u3069\u5186\u5b89\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u304f\u3068\u3082\u3001\u682a\u9ad8\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u307f\u3066\u3068\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We plot from 2016 to 2018.<\/font><\/p>\n

After later in 2017, the relation was changed.<\/font><\/p>\n

We can see when N225 rises, there needs Yen gets weak so much.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart2_conv\"<\/a>\"chart3_conv\"<\/a>\"chart4_conv\"<\/a>\"chart5_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2018\u5e74\u306e\u69d8\u5b50\u3092\u89b3\u5bdf\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u8d64\u4e38\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u306b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u3001\u56de\u5e30\u7dda\u306e\u50be\u659c\u306f\u3055\u3089\u306b\u305b\u308a\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u5f37\u70c8\u306a\u5186\u5b89\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3068\u3082\u300130000\u5186\u3078\u306e\u9054\u6210\u306f\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This is only 2018 data.<\/font><\/p>\n

There is no data at red circle point and this means regression line will get steeper.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart6_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2018\u5e74\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3060\u3051\u3067\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304f\u306f\u300cBest????\u300d\u3088\u308a\u3082\u5de6\u5074\u306b\u304f\u308b\u5730\u70b9\u306730000\u5186\u306b\u9054\u3059\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3082130\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5024\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u300130000\u5186\u3092\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u300c15\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u306b\u306a\u308b\u300d\u524d\u63d0\u306b\u304a\u8a71\u3057\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30f3\u30c8\u304b\u3044\u306a\uff1f<\/p>\n

We use only 2018 data.<\/font><\/p>\n

Probably, reaching 30000yen over will be light of the \u201cBest????\u201d line but 130yen around will need.<\/font><\/p>\n

This occasion will be difficult.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart7_conv\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c225\u306e\u95a2\u9023\u6027\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c225\u304c3\u4e07\u5186\u8d85\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u306f130\u5186\u53f0\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u304c\u5fc5\u8981?\u30fb\u3042\u306815\u5186\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u5186\u5b89\u3068\u306f\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3001\u3084\u3063\u3071\u308a30000\u5186\u306f\u9060\u3044 USDJPY and N225 Relation; […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-usdjpy","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16781","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16781"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16781\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16782,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16781\/revisions\/16782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16781"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16781"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16781"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}