{"id":16850,"date":"2018-10-30T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-29T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16850"},"modified":"2018-10-29T18:52:01","modified_gmt":"2018-10-29T09:52:01","slug":"2000%e5%b9%b4%e4%bb%a5%e9%99%8d%e3%81%ae%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e6%80%a5%e8%90%bd%e5%be%8c%e3%81%ae%e8%aa%bf%e6%9f%bb%e3%83%bb%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81%e3%81%aa%e5%ba%95%e3%81%af33%e6%89%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=16850","title":{"rendered":"2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u6025\u843d\u5f8c\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u30fb\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u5e95\u306f33\u624b\uff082018\/11\/16\uff09\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u30fb2019\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u304b\u3089\u30ac\u30ea\u30ac\u30ea\u3068\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u5e95\u306a\u3057\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u3082\u30fb\u307e\u305a\u306f38.2%\u623b\u3057\u3092\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"

2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u6025\u843d\u5f8c\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u30fb\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u5e95\u306f33\u624b\uff082018\/11\/16\uff09\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u30fb2019\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u304b\u3089\u30ac\u30ea\u30ac\u30ea\u3068\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u5e95\u306a\u3057\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u3082\u30fb\u307e\u305a\u306f38.2%\u623b\u3057\u3092\uff01<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

NIKKEI 225 daily; after big fall, the important bottom will take in 33 business days from the peak. Big fall will start at the beginning of the next year, this may be a start of great bear market.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u30022000\u5e74\u540e\u65e5\u7ecf\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u5747\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u540e\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u65e5\u7ecf225\u5927\u8dcc\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u5c06\u5728\u9ad8\u5cf0\u671f\u540e\u768433\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u3002 \u5927\u8dcc\u5c06\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5927\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u6025\u843d\u5f8c\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7d4c\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u306f\u30c0\u30f3\u30b4\u304c\u591a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u6025\u843d\u578b\u3060\u3051\u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we survey sharp falls in N225 after 2000.<\/font><\/p>\n

In this market, main pattern is rounding and we only pick up sharp patterns.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u7279\u5fb4\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff11\uff0e \u9802\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u306e33\u624b\u307e\u3067\u306b\u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u304c\u3042\u308b\u300276\u624b\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3092\u306c\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u3059\u3050\u306b\u623b\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3065\u3089\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff12\uff0e \u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3068\u9802\u70b9\u306e38.2%\u306e\u623b\u3057\u304c\u5b9f\u73fe\u3057\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070IT\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u3068\u4f3c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff13\uff0e 65\u624b\u304b\u308976\u624b\u3067\u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3092\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u7834\u308b\u5b89\u5024\u3068\u306a\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u899a\u609f\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

We can know under these,<\/font><\/p>\n

1. The important bottom was taken by 33 business days. And the price gets lower than this price after 33 business days. But when the price gets sharp recover, this will not be a big fall.<\/font><\/p>\n

2. When the price does not go 38.2% over, this occasion is similar to IT bubble.<\/font><\/p>\n

3. When the price gets lower than the important bottom, a big fall occurred.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3053\u308c\u3092\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u9069\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff11\uff0e2018\/11\/16\u307e\u3067\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3092\u3068\u308b\u3002\u307e\u3060\u3001\u5e95\u3068\u78ba\u8a8d\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u4e00\u5fdc\u300120971.93\u5186\u306f\u4eee\u306e\u57fa\u5e95\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff12\uff0e\u5e74\u672b\u307e\u3067\u306b22300\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u623b\u3055\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u5f31\u6c17\u306a\u72b6\u614b\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3002\u534a\u5024\u307e\u3067\u623b\u3055\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u30cf\u30c3\u30ad\u30ea\u3068\u3057\u305f\u5f37\u6c17\u793a\u5506\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff13\uff0e\u305d\u306e\u524d\u3082\u542b\u3081\u3001\u5e74\u521d\u304b\u3089\uff0865\u624b\u306f2019\/1\/9\u300176\u624b\u306f2019\/1\/25\uff09\u3001\u57fa\u70b9\u3068\u306a\u308b\u5e95\u3092\u5207\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u30ac\u30ea\u30ac\u30ea\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u5fc5\u81f3\u3060\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Applying this occasion to the latest market, we can conduct under these.<\/font><\/p>\n

1. The major bottom will take before 11\/16\/2018. And the temporary bottom is 20971.93yen.<\/font><\/p>\n

2. When the price will not go 22300yen over by at the end of this year, this will mean big bear market. Of course, the half price recovery will be very important.<\/font><\/p>\n

3. When a big fall will start at the beginning of the next year, this will be a start of great bear market.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"200004\"<\/a>\"201103\"<\/a>\"201305\"<\/a>\"201312\"<\/a>\"201508\"<\/a>\"201801\"<\/a>\"201810\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u2605\u2605\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u4f5c\u6210\u6642\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u2605\u2605<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3088\u308a\u975e\u63d0\u4f9b\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u6025\u843d\u5f8c\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u30fb\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u5e95\u306f33\u624b\uff082018\/11\/16\uff09\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u30fb2019\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u304b\u3089\u30ac\u30ea\u30ac\u30ea\u3068\u4e0b\u3052\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3089\u5e95\u306a\u3057\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306b\u3082\u30fb\u307e\u305a\u306f38.2%\u623b\u3057\u3092\uff01 NIKKEI 225 daily; aft […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16850"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16850\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16851,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16850\/revisions\/16851"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16850"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16850"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}