{"id":1833,"date":"2011-10-23T09:50:46","date_gmt":"2011-10-23T00:50:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=1833"},"modified":"2011-10-23T11:48:02","modified_gmt":"2011-10-23T02:48:02","slug":"%e4%be%a1%e6%a0%bc%e6%af%94%e8%bc%83%e3%81%ae%e7%bd%a0-the-trap-of-comparing-the-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=1833","title":{"rendered":"\u4fa1\u683c\u6bd4\u8f03\u306e\u7f60\/ The trap of comparing the price."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Today, we consider the analyzing way.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306f2011\/05\/02\u304b\u30892011\/10\/21\u307e\u3067\u306e\u7c73\uff11\uff10\u5e74\u50b5\u91d1\u5229\u3068\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff26\uff29\uff27\uff11\u90e8\u5206\u306b\u7740\u76ee\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3068\u3001\uff26\uff29\uff27\uff11\u306e\u89e3\u91c8\u306b\u306f\u3001\u300c\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u306e\u306b\u682a\u5f0f\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u898b\u89e3\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">We compare the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T-No (Chicago Options: ^TNX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) data from 05\/02\/2011 to 10\/21\/2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">When we focus on FIG.1, we can explain \u201cthe interest rise is small and the stock rise is bigger\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N1.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"N1\" border=\"0\" alt=\"N1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N1_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"395\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u6b21\u306bFIG1\u306e\u671f\u9593\u30922011\/09\/01\u304b\u30892011\/10\/21\u307e\u3067\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u66f8\u304d\u6539\u3081\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c73\uff11\uff10\u5e74\u50b5\u91d1\u5229\u3068\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u8ffd\u968f\u6027\u304c\u3088\u304f\u308f\u304b\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u66f8\u304d\u6539\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Next, we redraw the chart changing the term from 09\/01\/2011 to 10\/21\/2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">We can confirm a high correlation between CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T-No (Chicago Options: ^TNX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N2.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"N2\" border=\"0\" alt=\"N2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N2_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"414\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5ea6\u306f\u3001\u671f\u9593\u30922009\/05\/01\u304b\u30892011\/10\/21\u307e\u3067\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306b\u66f8\u304d\u6539\u3081\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u308f\u304b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u300c2009\u5e74\u4ee3\u3067\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u304c3%\u53f0\u306a\u306e\u306b\u30019000\u30c9\u30eb\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u304c2%\u306a\u306e\u306b11500\u30c9\u30eb\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u898b\u89e3\u306f\u3001\u300c\u30c0\u30a6\u306f\u3082\u3063\u3068\u4e0b\u3052\u3066\u3082\u826f\u3044\u300d\u304b\u300c\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u3082\u3063\u3068\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3088\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u66f4\u306bFIG2,FIG3\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306b\u3001\u30c0\u30a6\u306f\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5c40\u9762\u3082\u3042\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Next, we redraw the chart from 05\/01\/2009 to 10\/21\/2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">We can find out \u201cIn 2009, the interest is 3 point around and the stock is 9000 point. The latest, the interest is 2 point around and the stock is 11500 point.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">So we can say the conclusion \u201cThe stock should go down side.\u201d or \u201cThe interest should do upper side.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Further, FIG2 and FIG3 situation are opposite correction.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N3.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"N3\" border=\"0\" alt=\"N3\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/N3_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"401\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u306f\u682a\u4fa1\u3068\u91d1\u5229\u306b\u306f\u76f8\u95a2\u95a2\u4fc2\u3042\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u306f\u76f8\u95a2\u95a2\u4fc2\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6642\u671f\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002(FIG.2 FIG.3\u53c2\u7167)<\/p>\n<p>\u898b\u65b9\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3067\u3082\u89e3\u91c8\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3001\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3084\u671f\u9593\u306a\u3069\u3092\u660e\u793a\u3059\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Generally, there is a relationship between the stock and the interest.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">But there are opposite correlation in the past.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Depending on a view, we can interpret as we like.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">We think a precondition, a period, etc. should be specified.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><span style=\"color: #008080\">Contact Us<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #008080\">\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002 Today, we consider the analyzing way. &#160; \u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306f2011\/05\/02\u304b\u30892011\/10\/21\u307e\u3067\u306e\u7c73\uff11\uff10\u5e74\u50b5\u91d1\u5229\u3068\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u3092\u6bd4 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,34,13,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-analyzing-way","category-cboe-interest-rate-10-year-t-no","category-dow-jones-industrial-average"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1833"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1833\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1835,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1833\/revisions\/1835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}