{"id":1924,"date":"2011-11-08T16:49:39","date_gmt":"2011-11-08T07:49:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=1924"},"modified":"2011-11-10T11:15:01","modified_gmt":"2011-11-10T02:15:01","slug":"%e3%83%80%e3%82%a6%e9%80%b1%e8%b6%b3%e3%81%ae%e6%97%a5%e6%9f%841930%e5%b9%b4%e4%bb%a3%e3%81%a8%e6%af%94%e8%bc%83-%e3%81%9d%e3%81%ae2dow-jones-industrial-average-dji-weekly-comparing-1930s-hi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=1924","title":{"rendered":"\u30c0\u30a6\u9031\u8db3\u306e\u65e5\u67c41930\u5e74\u4ee3\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03 &lt;\u305d\u306e2&gt;\/Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Weekly. Comparing 1930s &ldquo;HIGARA&rdquo; Part 2."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u65e5\u3082\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u9031\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff13\u56de\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308a\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Today\u2019s analyze is also Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) weekly data.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We would like to verify a market price 3 times.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\uff12\u56de\u76ee\u306f1932\u5e74\u304b\u30891937\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u67c4\u30682009\u5e74\u304b\u30892011\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u67c4\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30c0\u30a6\u306f1932\u5e747\u67085\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u306b40.56\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u6700\u5b89\u5024\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3053\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u306b\u81f3\u308b\u307e\u3067\u4e00\u5ea6\u3082\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306e\u7121\u3044\u5024\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7d0480\u5e74\u9593\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u5024\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u304b\u30891937\u5e743\u67088\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u76f8\u5834\uff08B\uff09\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u9593244\u9031\u304b\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6628\u65e5\u5831\u544a\u3057\u305f\u4e0b\u3052\u5c40\u9762\u306f149\u9031\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001149 * 1.618 = 241\u9031\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u70b9\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u305f\u3044\u9031\u306f1936\u5e7411\u670816\u65e5\u306e\u9031(A)\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u4e0a\u30d2\u30b2\u3092\u6b8b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u5909\u5316\u65e5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u53ef\u80fd\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1932\u5e747\u67085\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u304b\u3089\u306e228\u9031\u76ee\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308b\u9031\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u74b0\u306f226\u3067\u3059\u304c\u300176 * 3=228\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5ea6\u306f\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2009\u5e743\u67082\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u306b\u5b89\u5024\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u304b\u3089\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u5e74\u521d\u6765\u9ad8\u5024\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u7d9a\u304d\u30012011\u5e745\u67082\u65e5\u306e\u9031\uff08A\uff09\u306b\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2009\u5e743\u67082\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u304b\u3089114\u9031\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u4ee3\u306f1930\u5e74\u4ee3\u306e2\u500d\u306e\u901f\u3055\u3067\u65e5\u67c4\u3092\u6d88\u5316\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001122\u9031\u76ee\u306b\u3042\u305f\u308b2011\u5e746\u670827\u65e5(B)\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5927\u967d\u7dda\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u5909\u5316\u9031\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u5e74\u521d\u6765\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u66f4\u65b0\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u30011937\u5e74\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u306f\u69d8\u76f8\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u67c4\u306e\u8996\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u8003\u3048\u305f\u3068\u304d\u3001A\u70b9\uff082011\u5e745\u67082\u65e5\u306e\u9031\u30681936\u5e7411\u670816\u65e5\u306e\u9031\uff09\u304b\u3089\u306e\u672a\u6765\u304c\u73fe\u5728\u30681930\u5e74\u4ee3\u306e\u9055\u3044\u3060\u3068\u611f\u3058\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Second time, we compare the market \u201cHIGARA\u201d from 1932 to 1937 and from 2009 to 2011.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">DJI took the lowest (40.56point) at the 7\/5\/1932 week.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is the lowest price until it continues up to now.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This price does not give for about 80 years.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">And it becomes a bull stock market from there to the 3\/8\/1937 week.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">It took 244weeks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We reported 149 weeks bear market and 149 * 1.618 = 241 weeks.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">And we need to notice the 11\/16\/1936 week (A).<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">In this week, we can see upper shadow; this implies \u201cHENKABI\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is the 288th week from the 7\/5\/1932 week.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Next is the recent market.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We can see the lowest at the 3\/2\/2009 week.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">After that, the bull market continued, and the market took the year high at 5\/2\/2011 (A).<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is the 114th week from the 3\/2\/2009 week.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">It means that the present age had digested \u201cHIGARA\u201d with the twice as many speeds of the 1930s as this.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Moreover, the 6\/27\/2011 week (the 122 weeks from the 3\/2\/2009 week), we can see the \u201cbig white bar\u201d; we can treat it as \u201cHENKABI\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">But in the 6\/27\/2011 week, the market price can not go over the last year high; we can consider there are some differences.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">From the \u201cHIGARA\u201d point of view, \u201cA\u201d point (the week of 5\/2\/2011 and the week of 11\/16\/1936) may become the turning point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/3237.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"3237\" border=\"0\" alt=\"3237\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/3237_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"402\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/0911.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"0911\" border=\"0\" alt=\"0911\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/0911_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"409\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#008080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#008080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u65e5\u3082\u7c73\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u9031\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002 \uff13\u56de\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308a\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 Today\u2019s analyze is also Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) weekly dat [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-dow-jones-industrial-average"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1924"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1924\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1925,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1924\/revisions\/1925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}