{"id":20064,"date":"2020-01-01T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2019-12-31T22:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=20064"},"modified":"2019-12-31T12:52:54","modified_gmt":"2019-12-31T03:52:54","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e5%b9%b4%e8%b6%b3%e3%81%ae%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e3%83%bb2018-10%e3%81%8c%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%a9%e4%ba%95%e3%81%aa%e3%82%89%e3%80%812020-11%ef%bd%9e2021-06%e3%81%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=20064","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u8db3\u306e\u5206\u6790\u30fb2018\/10\u304c\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u306a\u3089\u30012020\/11\uff5e2021\/06\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u5e95?\u30012024\/02\uff5e2025\/01\u304c\u4e8c\u756a\u5e95?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u8db3\u306e\u5206\u6790\u30fb2018\/10\u304c\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u306a\u3089\u30012020\/11\uff5e2021\/06\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u5e95?\u30012024\/02\uff5e2025\/01\u304c\u4e8c\u756a\u5e95?<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>NIKKEI 225 annual; if major peak was 10\/2018, first bottom will be from 11\/2020 to 06\/2021 and second bottom will be from 02\/2024 to 01\/2025.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#804040\" size=\"4\"><strong>\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e3b\u8981\u9ad8\u5cf0\u662f2018\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u5c31\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e95\u90e8\u662f2020\u5e74\u4ece11\u6708\u523002021\u5e746\u6708\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u5e95\u90e8\u662f\u4ece2024\u5e742\u6708\u52302025\u5e741\u6708\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><strong><font size=\"2\">\u3042\u3051\u307e\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3081\u3067\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><font color=\"#408080\" size=\"2\">A happy new year!<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\"><font size=\"2\"><strong>\u65b0\u5e74\u5feb<\/strong><strong>\u4e50<\/strong><strong>!<\/strong><\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6628\u5e74\u306f\u30d9\u30a2\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u9593\u9055\u3044\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u9811\u5f35\u308b\u305e\uff01<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Last year, our expectation was bear market but it was wrong.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We need a big effort.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>2019\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u306b\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u60f3\u5b9a\u306f\u30011990-1991\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u8ecc\u9053\u3092\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9\u306b\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>21500\u5186\u3050\u3089\u3044\u304c\u5929\u4e95\u3067\u3001\u305d\u306e\u8fba\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u304b\u306a\u3068\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0b\u843d\u5024\u5e45\u306e\u534a\u5024\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f4\u6708\u304c\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u304b\u306a\u3068\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5024\u304c\u91cd\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306f\u60f3\u5b9a\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u3067\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306f\u60f3\u5b9a\u5916\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">At the beginning of 2019, we expected bear market and the price may follow likely to 1990-1991 or 2007 price movement.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">And 21500yen around may be peak and April may be peak around.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We could know upside was difficult and we cannot expect rally in year end.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/chart1-5.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"chart1\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"chart1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/chart1_thumb-5.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u304c\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u304b\u306f\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u30012018\/10\u306b\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u7d4c\u9a13\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3051\u3070\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u305f\u3044\u306e\u306f\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u5f8c\u306e26\u30f6\u6708\u304b\u308933\u30f6\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3068\u300165\u30f6\u6708\u304b\u308976\u30f6\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2018\/10\u304c\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u65e5\u67c4\u7684\u306b\u306f2020\/11\uff5e2021\/06\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u5e95\u30012024\/02\uff5e2025\/01\u304c\u4e8c\u756a\u5e95\u3068\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u59a5\u5f53\u3060\u3068\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2020\u5e74\u4e2d\u306b\u65b0\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u53d6\u308c\u3070\u5f8c\u305a\u308c\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do not know N225 has already peaked out but we assume N225 was peaked out.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">According to the past price movement, the major bottoms occurred from 26 months to 33 months and from 65 months to 76 months.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If major peak was 10\/2018, first bottom will be from 11\/2020 to 06\/2021 and second bottom will be from 02\/2024 to 01\/2025.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/02_N225_1989.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"02_N225_1989\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"02_N225_1989\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/02_N225_1989_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/03_N225_1996.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"03_N225_1996\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"03_N225_1996\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/03_N225_1996_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/04_N225_2000.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"04_N225_2000\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"04_N225_2000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/04_N225_2000_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/05_N225_2007.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"05_N225_2007\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"05_N225_2007\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/05_N225_2007_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/06_N225_2019.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"06_N225_2019\" style=\"border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; background-image: none; border-bottom-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-left: 0px; display: inline; padding-right: 0px; border-top-width: 0px\" border=\"0\" alt=\"06_N225_2019\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/06_N225_2019_thumb.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"339\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#408080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#408080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#408080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u8db3\u306e\u5206\u6790\u30fb2018\/10\u304c\u5927\u5929\u4e95\u306a\u3089\u30012020\/11\uff5e2021\/06\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u5e95?\u30012024\/02\uff5e2025\/01\u304c\u4e8c\u756a\u5e95? NIKKEI 225 annual; if major peak was 10\/2018 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20064","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20064"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20064\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20065,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20064\/revisions\/20065"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}