{"id":2144,"date":"2011-12-15T23:18:52","date_gmt":"2011-12-15T14:18:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=2144"},"modified":"2011-12-15T23:18:52","modified_gmt":"2011-12-15T14:18:52","slug":"%e6%9d%b1%e4%ba%ac%e3%83%9e%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b1%e3%83%83%e3%83%88%e5%86%86%e5%bb%ba%e3%81%a6%e9%8a%80%e6%9c%88%e8%b6%b3%e3%83%bb%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a745%e3%83%9d%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%88%e5%89%8d%e5%be%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=2144","title":{"rendered":"\u6771\u4eac\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u5186\u5efa\u3066\u9280\u6708\u8db3\u30fb\u6700\u592745\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u524d\u5f8c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3082\/Tokyo market silver calculated in yen (Monthly Data). We think the maximum down side is 45 point."},"content":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u6771\u4eac\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u5186\u5efa\u3066\u9280\u6708\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s analyze is about Tokyo market silver calculated in yen (Monthly Data).<\/font><\/p>\n

\"CHART\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u5024\u5e45\u89b3\u6e2c\u3092\u304a\u3053\u306a\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u5b89\u5024\u3078\u306e\u6e1b\u4fa1\u4e00\u89a7\u3092\u4f5c\u3063\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e95\u306f\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e6\u5272\u5f15\u304b\u30893\u5272\u5f15\u524d\u5f8c\u3067\u3042\u308d\u3046\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we analyze where the bottom price is.<\/font><\/p>\n

We make a table of the market price peak and bottom.<\/font><\/p>\n

The target price from high price becomes from 40 percent off to 70 percent off.<\/font><\/p>\n

If we adapt in these recent market, these are conclusion.<\/font><\/p>\n

<\/font><\/p>\n

Minimum: 130.40 * 60% = 78.24<\/font><\/p>\n

Maximum: 130.40 * 30 % = 39.12<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

HIGH Price Date<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

HIGH Price<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

LOW Price Date<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

LOW Price<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

1987\/04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

45.80<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

1995\/03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

13.32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

29%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

1998\/02<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

26.30<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2001\/11<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

15.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

60%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

2008\/03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

70.00<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

2008\/10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

25.72<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

37%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

2011\/04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

130.40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

????\/??<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

??.??<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

 <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057\u3001\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u306e7\u5272\u524d\u5f8c\u306e\u6e1b\u4fa1\u304c\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u30011987\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u8fd1\u8fba\uff0845\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u524d\u5f8c\uff09\u3068\u307b\u307c\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u300245\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u524d\u5f8c\u306f\u30012010\/01\u5e74\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u3067\u3082\u9577\u3044\u4e0b\u30d2\u30b2\u3092\u6b8b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5f37\u529b\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6a5f\u80fd\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If the maximum fall (70 percent off) comes true, the market price is very close to 1987 highest (45 point around).<\/font><\/p>\n

And 45 point around becames support point in 01\/2010 and we can see the lower shadow; we think this point around may work as strong support.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u70b9\u5225\u306e\u8a08\u7b97\u3092\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5404\u70b9\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u5dee\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We calculate another way.<\/font><\/p>\n

We calculate the range of price from point to point.<\/font><\/p>\n

<\/font><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n

Point to Point<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Difference<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

A \u2192 B <\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

12.98<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

C \u2192 B<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

10.62<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

C \u2192 D<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

54.32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

E \u2192 D<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

44.28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

E \u2192 F<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

104.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

B\u70b9\u3092\u9802\u70b9\u306b\u4e0b\u964d\u5206\/\u4e0a\u964d\u5206\u3092\u304a\u3053\u306a\u3046\u3068 10.62 \/ 12.98 = 0.82<\/p>\n

D\u70b9\u3092\u9802\u70b9\u306b\u4e0b\u964d\u5206\/\u4e0a\u964d\u5206\u3092\u304a\u3053\u306a\u3046\u3068 44.28 \/ 54.32 = 0.82<\/p>\n

\u540c\u4e00\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068E\u304b\u3089D\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5024\u5e45\u306f\u3001104.68\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3002<\/p>\n

104.68 * 82%\u306e\u5024\u5e45\u304c\u9ad8\u5024130.40\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u306e\u3067\u300144.56\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

In B peak; 10.62 \/ 12.98 = 0.82 (descend \/ rise)<\/font><\/p>\n

In D peak; 44.28 \/ 54.32 = 0.82 (descend \/ rise)<\/font><\/p>\n

We can see the \u201cdescend divide rally\u201d are the close ratio.<\/font><\/p>\n

So we adapt in this market the falling range of price from high may become 104.68 * 82%; 44.56 point may become the bottom.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u6771\u4eac\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u5186\u5efa\u3066\u9280\u6708\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002 Today\u2019s analyze is about Tokyo market silver calculated in yen (Monthly Data).   […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-tokyo-market-silver-calculated-in-yen"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2144\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}