{"id":2923,"date":"2012-04-17T17:45:03","date_gmt":"2012-04-17T08:45:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=2923"},"modified":"2012-04-17T17:45:03","modified_gmt":"2012-04-17T08:45:03","slug":"%e3%82%b7%e3%82%ab%e3%82%b4%e3%83%bb%e3%82%aa%e3%83%97%e3%82%b7%e3%83%a7%e3%83%b3vix%ef%bc%88%e6%81%90%e6%80%96%e5%bf%83%e7%90%86%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%ef%bc%89%e6%97%a5%e8%b6%b3%e3%80%82%e5%bc%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=2923","title":{"rendered":"\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3\u3002\u5f37\u5f31\u306e\u5206\u5c90\u70b9\/Chicago Options: ^VIX Daily. The turning point of the bullish or bearish."},"content":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6628\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u306f19.55\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u524d\u56de\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e45\u5ea6\u7dda\u306f28\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u8fd1\u8fba\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u3053\u3092\uff11\u5ea6\u8d85\u3048\u3001\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306e\u518d\u5ea6\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u304c\u30012008\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u524d\u56de\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002(2012\/03\/27\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u53c2\u7167)<\/a><\/p>\n

Today, we analyze Chicago Options: ^VIX Daily data.<\/font><\/p>\n

Last day\u2019s close data was 19.55point.<\/font><\/p>\n

45 degree resistance line from the latest crisis is 28 point around.<\/font><\/p>\n

We explain that this is the important line (See our 03\/27\/2012 report<\/a> \u201cWhen the big rise occurs, the price move is the always same pattern.\u201d)<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2008\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u6628\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306eP&F\u3092\u66f8\u304d\u3001\u6c34\u5e73\u65b9\u5411\u306e\u25cb\u00d7\u306e\u6570\u3092\u52d8\u5b9a\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

20.5-21.0\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u5c71\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4ed8\u8fd1\u304c\u5c45\u5fc3\u5730\u306e\u826f\u3044\u5024\u6bb5\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u3058\u304f2005-2008\u5e74\u306e\u30ab\u30a6\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

23.0\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u4ed6\u306b15.0-15.5\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306811.5-12.0\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u30e1\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304c\u51fa\u73fe\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u682a\u4fa1\u304c\u5b89\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u300115.0-15.5\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306811.5-12.0\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067VIX\u304c\u7559\u307e\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u30012012\/03\/26\u306e14.26\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u307e\u3067\u3057\u304b\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

15.0-15.5\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u6ede\u7a7a\u6642\u9593\u306f\u77ed\u304fVIX\u306f\u306a\u304a\u9ad8\u6b62\u307e\u308a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672a\u3060\u306a\u304a\u5371\u6a5f\u306e\u8a2a\u308c\u3092\u5f85\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We count up the P&F horizontal \u201ccircle\u201d and \u201cx-mark\u201d from 2008 to yesterday.<\/font><\/p>\n

There is a peak 20.5 \u2013 21.0 point around; this point around is the comfortable market price.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we made the same chart from 2005-2008.<\/font><\/p>\n

There is a peak at 23.0point and we can see 15.0-15.5point and 11.5-12.0point peak.<\/font><\/p>\n

If market does not fear the crisis, the market price will stay 15.0-15.5 point or 11.5-12.0 point around.<\/font><\/p>\n

But the recent market only drops 14.26point in 03\/26\/2012.<\/font><\/p>\n

The stay of 15.0-15.5point around was very short time, and we think the market price is still stay in high level.<\/font><\/p>\n

We think the market is still waiting for the crisis.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"2009_recent_PF\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

\"2009_rencet_count\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

\"2005_2008_PF\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

\"2005_2008_count\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u6628\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u306f19.55\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3002 \u524d\u56de\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e45\u5ea6\u7dda\u306f28\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u8fd1\u8fba\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u3053\u3053\u3092\uff11\u5ea6\u8d85\u3048\u3001\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306e\u518d\u5ea6\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u304c\u30012008\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\u306e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chicago-options-vix","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2923"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2924,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2923\/revisions\/2924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2923"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2923"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2923"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}