{"id":3632,"date":"2012-06-19T20:08:00","date_gmt":"2012-06-19T11:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=3632"},"modified":"2012-06-19T20:08:00","modified_gmt":"2012-06-19T11:08:00","slug":"ny%e9%87%91%e9%80%b1%e8%b6%b3%e3%80%82pf%e3%82%92%e4%bd%bf%e3%81%84%ef%bc%94%e3%81%a4%e3%81%ae%e3%82%b7%e3%83%8a%e3%83%aa%e3%82%aa%e3%82%92%e8%80%83%e3%81%88%e3%81%a6%e3%81%bf%e3%81%be%e3%81%97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=3632","title":{"rendered":"NY\u91d1\u9031\u8db3\u3002P&F\u3092\u4f7f\u3044\uff14\u3064\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\/ NY GOLD Weekly. We suppose the 4 future market stories by P&F."},"content":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306fNY\u91d1\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

1980\u5e741\u6708\u304b\u3089\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306eNY\u91d1\u306e\u9031\u8db3\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Today we analyze NY gold weekly.<\/font><\/p>\n

We analyze NY GOLD weekly data from Jan. 1980 to the recent market.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

NY\u91d1\u9031\u8db3\u306e\uff11\u67a025pt\u30013\u67a0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9031\u672b\u306eNY Close\u3067\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

04\/27\/2011\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/a>\u3067\u306f\u6708\u8db3\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3001\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c81500\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u304c\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u4f38\u3073\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u9069\u5207\u306aP&F\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u8003\u3048\u308b\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u305f\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u306f\u6c34\u5e73\u5206\u6790\u306e\u5024\u304c\u9069\u5207\u306a\u5024\u3092\u793a\u3059\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u8abf\u6574\u3059\u308b\u3067\u304d\u308b\u5024\u306f\u5024\u5e45\u3068\u4f55\u51e6\u306e\u5024\u6bb5\u3092\u53d6\u308b\u304b\u306e\uff12\u70b9\u3057\u304b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306fP&F\u3092\u6700\u9069\u5316\u3059\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u4f7f\u3044\u6700\u9069\u5316\u3057\u305f\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u63d0\u793a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306eP&F\u3067\u306f\u300118\u67a0\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\u304b\u3089\u306e54\u67a0\u79fb\u52d5\u30011925point\u304c\u9ad8\u5024\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u5024\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001NY GOLD\u306e\u6700\u9ad8\u5024\u306f1923.7\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8(2011\/09\/06Week)\u3067P&F\u306e\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c81925\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3068\u307b\u307c\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3001\u5024\u5e45\u306e\u8a2d\u5b9a\u306f\u9069\u5207\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This is NY Gold 25pt change and 3 box reversal close price\u2019s Point and Figure chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

We wrote it by NY close weekend data.<\/font><\/p>\n

In 04\/27\/2011 report,<\/a> we used monthly data and the target price was 1500 point; the market price went over and this was not the proper P&F.<\/font><\/p>\n

We think the proper chart means the value of the horizontal analysis shows an appropriate value.<\/font><\/p>\n

And there are 2 adjustable values; using what kind of the close price and the margin.<\/font><\/p>\n

We use our optimize way applying the P&F chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

In this chart, the target price was 1925point (54move from 18 boxes steadiness) and the real market highest was 1923.7point (09\/06\/2011 week); this was very close!<\/font><\/p>\n

The conclusion, we think this chart is proper.<\/font><\/p>\n

 \"PF\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u3055\u3066\u3001\u3053\u306eP&F\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3068\uff12\u3064\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff11\u3064\u76ee\u306fR1\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\uff08\u96e2\u308c4\u70b9\uff09\u304c\u3057\u3063\u304b\u308a\u3068\u50cd\u304d\u3001S1\u3001S2\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u5272\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u3060\u3001\u4e0b\u65b9\u5411\u306bS7\u307e\u3067\uff15\u672c\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u5e2f\u304c\u5099\u308f\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5f31\u6c17\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u307e\u3067\u898b\u65b9\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u306b\u306f\u305d\u308c\u306a\u308a\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u9802\u70b9\u306f1875\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u306f\u9054\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3082\u300c\u30d2\u30b2\u306e\u5148\u3063\u3061\u3087\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u7684\u306b\u306f\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u672a\u9054\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5230\u9054\u305b\u305a\u306b\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306a\u308a\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3092\u5143\u306b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\uff14\u3064\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

Now, if this chart is proper chart, we can find out 2 facts.<\/font><\/p>\n

The one is the \u201cR1 resistance\u201d works well and the market price cut \u201cS1 and S2 support\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

This does not mean this is not the bearish market.<\/font><\/p>\n

There are still 5 resistance points under these.<\/font><\/p>\n

The other point is the market top price was 1875point.<\/font><\/p>\n

The market price has already reached only the peak price and the chart face does not imply the fulfillment.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the market price will not reach the target price, there will need the collection or fall.<\/font><\/p>\n

We consider 4 future stories.<\/font><\/p>\n

  <\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u5024\u30681550\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u62bc\u3055\u3048\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u308b<\/h4>\n

\u3064\u307e\u3089\u306a\u3044\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u306a\u306e\u304c\u3001\u4e0a\u5024\u3082\u4e0b\u5024\u3082\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\u306e\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3002<\/p>\n

The market will become a steadiness market.<\/font><\/h4>\n

This is not the steadiness market for some time.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

R1\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u30661925\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u30d0\u30c4\u304c\u3064\u304f\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3<\/h4>\n

\u4e0a\u6607\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u672a\u3060\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u304a\u308a\u9054\u6210\u611f\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u306b\u304f\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304f\u306f\u77ac\u9593\u7684\u306b\u306f2000\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u8d8a\u3048\u3082\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9031\u672b\u306b\u306f1925\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u307e\u3067\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b8c\u5168\u306a\u9054\u6210\u611f\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u3084\u8abf\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n

The market price will reach the 1925point again and the trend will change.<\/font><\/h4>\n

This pattern is \u201cThe bull market is still going on\u201d and the market price will reach 1925point again.<\/font><\/p>\n

This may become 2000 point over in short term.<\/font><\/p>\n

But the market price will recover 1925 point again.<\/font><\/p>\n

This will mean steadiness or fall after the perfect accomplishment.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\uff15\u500d\u8fd4\u3057<\/h4>\n

18\u67a0\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\u306e\uff15\u500d\u8fd4\u3057\u306e\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u5f37\u304f\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u3001\u91d1\u306e\u5024\u6bb5\u304c\u9752\u5929\u4e95\u306b\u306a\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u306f\u305d\u306e\u3068\u304d\u8a08\u7b97\u3057\u306a\u304a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

5 times move<\/font><\/h4>\n

This will mean 5times move from 18 boxes steadiness.<\/font><\/p>\n

For example, everyone will feel strong inflation and the gold price will become skyrocketing.<\/font><\/p>\n

In this case, we recalculate the target.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

S3-S7\u306e\u3069\u3053\u304b\u3067\u6b62\u307e\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3<\/h4>\n

\u3053\u306e\u5834\u540845\u5ea6\u7dda\u304c\u751f\u304d\u3066\u304f\u308b\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d4c\u9a13\u7684\u306b\u306f\u4e00\u76ee\u306e\u8a08\u7b97\u5024\u3068\u7b26\u5408\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u30bf\u30fc\u30b2\u30c3\u30c8\u3002<\/p>\n

S7\u307e\u3067\u3067\u6b62\u307e\u308b\u306a\u3089\u5f37\u6c17\u7dad\u6301\u306f\u7d99\u7d9a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

S6\u3084S7\u3092\u5272\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

The market price will stop the support zone from S3 to S7.<\/font><\/h4>\n

In this case, 45 degree support will work well.<\/font><\/p>\n

Empirically, this support price will accord with \u201cICHIMOKU\u201d target.<\/font><\/p>\n

We are still bullish until the market price cut \u201cS7 support\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we think there will be no need until the market price will cut \u201cS6 or S7 support\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u672c\u65e5\u306fNY\u91d1\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 1980\u5e741\u6708\u304b\u3089\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306eNY\u91d1\u306e\u9031\u8db3\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 Today we analyze NY gold weekly. We analyze NY GOLD weekly data fro […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ny-gold","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3632"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3632\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3633,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3632\/revisions\/3633"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}