{"id":4225,"date":"2012-10-30T19:59:38","date_gmt":"2012-10-30T10:59:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=4225"},"modified":"2012-10-30T19:59:38","modified_gmt":"2012-10-30T10:59:38","slug":"ny%e5%8e%9f%e6%b2%b9%e3%80%82%e3%83%94%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%82%a2%e3%82%a6%e3%83%88%e3%81%ae%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7%e5%a4%a7west-texas-intermediate-wti-we-think-the-market-price-has-already-pe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=4225","title":{"rendered":"NY\u539f\u6cb9\u3002\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5927\/West Texas Intermediate (WTI); we think the market price has already peaked out. \/\u897f\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u4e2d\u8d28\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff09\u3002\u4ece\u9876\u68da\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5927\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4><font color=\"#800000\">NY\u539f\u6cb9\u3002\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5927<\/font><\/h4>\n<h4><font color=\"#800000\">West Texas Intermediate (WTI); we think the market price has already peaked out.<\/font><\/h4>\n<h4><font color=\"#800000\">\u897f\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u4e2d\u8d28\u6cb9\uff08WTI\uff09\u3002\u4ece\u9876\u68da\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5927\u3002<\/font><\/h4>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u6d41\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u76f8\u5834\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65b9\u3092\uff13\u7a2e\u985e\u306b\u5206\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>1. \u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304d\u76f8\u5834\u6c34\u6e96\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u65b9<\/p>\n<p>2. \u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u5024\u52d5\u304d\uff09\u306b\u9069\u5408\u3057\u305f\u8b1b\u91c8\u3092\u52a0\u3048\u308b\u65b9<\/p>\n<p>3. \u4e00\u5207\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3092\u7121\u8996\u3057\u3066\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u5024\u52d5\u304d\uff09\u3092\u8ffd\u3044\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u65b9<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u3069\u306e\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u935b\u932c\u3092\u91cd\u306d\u308c\u3070\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30d7\u30ed\u30d5\u30a3\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u8fd1\u3065\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u53ef\u80fd\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u76ee\u6307\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\uff13\u756a\u76ee\u306e\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u9593\u9055\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1\u756a\u30012\u756a\u306e\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u3092\u63a1\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u30ed\u30af\u30c7\u30e2\u306a\u3044\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u3059\u308b\u306b\u6c7a\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>3\u756a\u76ee\u306e\u3084\u308a\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u5024\u52d5\u304d\uff09\u3092\u8ffd\u3046\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u306b\u6cbf\u3044\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u826f\u304f\u4f3c\u305f\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3092\u63a2\u3057\u51fa\u3057\u3001\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30de\u30c1\u30c3\u30af\u3067\u3001\u6a5f\u68b0\u7684\u306a\u5224\u65ad\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">There exists thousand of the market analyze information.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">And we can divide three types of information.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\"><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">1. Judge Exchange Level Based on Economic Rationality.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">2. Judge Exchange Level Based on Economic Rationality with chart (Price movement) or formation figure.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">3. Judge chart (Price movement) or formation figure without Exchange Level Based on Economic Rationality.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\"><\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">In any cases, we can reach the investor goal \u201cProfits\u201d with big effort.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Now, we adopted No.3 way.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We often wrong \u201cJudge Exchange Level Based on Economic Rationality\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">If we adopt No.1 or No.2 way, we may offer terrible mistake.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We can only do No.3 way and view the chart (Price movement) or formation figure and find out the similar price movement.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is quantitative, systematic and mechanical judgment method.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u65e5\u306fNY\u539f\u6cb9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Today\u2019s analyze is West Texas Intermediate (WTI).<\/font><\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u8db3\u306e\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\uff11\u67a01\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3001\uff13\u67a0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>77\u30c9\u30eb\u3001109\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30cf\u30e9\u30df\u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3069\u3061\u3089\u304b\u306b\u629c\u3051\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\u304c\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u306e\u524d\u63d0\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306fS1\u306e45\u5ea6\u7dda\u3092\u629c\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001LONG\u306f\u624b\u4ed5\u821e\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f4\u8fd1\u3067\u306f\u300192\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u30d5\u30e9\u30c3\u30c8\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u3089\uff12\u3064\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5f31\u6c17\u3092\u610f\u8b58\u3057\u3066\u826f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0b\u306b\u306f\u300183\u30c9\u30eb\u300177\u30c9\u30eb\u300175\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u65b9\u5411\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u308b\u306e\u306f92\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is Point and Figure chart written by daily data.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">This is 1 point price change and 3 box reversal close price\u2019s Point and Figure chart.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">The market price is being between 77 dollar and 109 dollar.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">In mid-long term view, the steadiness is going on.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">The recent market price cut 45 degree support \u201cS1\u201d and we should close our long position.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">The market price formed flat top at 92 point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">And these evidences provides bearish.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">There are 3 support points at 83 point, 77 point and 75 point.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">If the market price will cut 92 dollar, we can consider trend reversal.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/PF9.png\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px\" title=\"PF\" border=\"0\" alt=\"PF\" src=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/rtmain\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/PF_thumb9.png\" width=\"644\" height=\"474\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>&#160;<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\">Contact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font><a href=\"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?page_id=41\"><font color=\"#008080\">Contact Us<\/font><\/a><font color=\"#008080\">\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font color=\"#008080\">Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NY\u539f\u6cb9\u3002\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5927 West Texas Intermediate (WTI); we think the market price has already peaked out. \u897f\u5fb7\u514b\u8428\u65af\u4e2d\u8d28\u6cb9\uff08WTI [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-west-texas-intermediate","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4225"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4225\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4226,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4225\/revisions\/4226"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}