{"id":4327,"date":"2012-11-24T13:32:02","date_gmt":"2012-11-24T04:32:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=4327"},"modified":"2012-11-24T13:32:02","modified_gmt":"2012-11-24T04:32:02","slug":"%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e5%86%86%e9%95%b7%e6%9c%9f%e8%b6%b3%e3%80%82%e9%95%b7%e6%9c%9f%e7%9a%84%e3%81%aa%e5%86%86%e5%ae%89%e3%83%88%e3%83%ac%e3%83%b3%e3%83%89%e3%81%ae%e9%96%8b%e5%a7%8b%e3%81%a8%e3%81%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=4327","title":{"rendered":"\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u9577\u671f\u8db3\u3002\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5186\u5b89\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u958b\u59cb\u3068\u306a\u308b\u7b2c\u4e00\u95a2\u9580\u306f\u9031\u672b\u5f15\u3051\u5024\u304c88\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a\/Long term USDJPY view; if it will become a real bullish, it is 88 yen over we think but it is the first step of confirming. \/\u9884\u8ba1\u5982\u679c\u5468\u672b\u6536\u76d8\u884c\u5e02\u6210\u4e3a88\u65e5\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u957f\u671f\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u503e\u5411\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u9577\u671f\u8db3\u3002\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5186\u5b89\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u958b\u59cb\u3068\u306a\u308b\u7b2c\u4e00\u95a2\u9580\u306f\u9031\u672b\u5f15\u3051\u5024\u304c88\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a<\/font><\/h4>\n

Long term USDJPY view; if it will become a real bullish, it is 88 yen over we think but it is the first step of confirming.<\/font><\/h4>\n

\u9884\u8ba1\u5982\u679c\u5468\u672b\u6536\u76d8\u884c\u5e02\u6210\u4e3a88\u65e5\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u957f\u671f\u7684\u65e5\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u503e\u5411\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u3002<\/font><\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c0\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u3068\u306f\u300c\u4e0d\u5b89\u3060\u30e1\u30f3\u30bf\u30eb\u300d\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u5b89\u3067\u843d\u3061\u7740\u304b\u306a\u3044\u4e2d\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5411\u304d\u5408\u3046\u306b\u306f\u3001\u96d1\u5ff5\u3092\u6368\u3066\u5024\u6bb5\u3092\u8ffd\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5927\u5207\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We think \u201cMarket Fundamental\u201d means the anxiety.<\/font><\/p>\n

When we feel fear, we can not judge the truth.<\/font><\/p>\n

We only view the price moment.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u9577\u671f\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

82\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u6226\u7565\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u5834\u63a2\u3057\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u8ee2\u63db\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c\u3055\u3042\u3001\u5186\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u7a81\u5165\u3057\u305f\u300d\u307f\u305f\u3044\u306a\u610f\u898b\u3082\u805e\u304b\u308c\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u61d0\u7591\u7684\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s analyze is Dollar\/Yen rate.<\/font><\/p>\n

The market price went 82yen over and our basic tactics change \u201cBuy on dip\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We can find \u201cThis is the starting of long term Japanese Yen fall\u201d but we doubt it.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\uff11\u67a02\u5186\u3001\uff13\u67a0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

1991\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u9031\u8db3\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u3067\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306ePF\u306f\u9031\u672b\u306b\uff11\u56de\u898b\u76f4\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u5411\u304d\u306a\u306e\u3067\u8cb7\u3044\u5148\u884c\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u3001\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3067\u306a\u304b\u306a\u304b\u5f37\u6c17\u306b\u306a\u308c\u306a\u3044\u7406\u7531\u306f\u3001C\u70b9\u4ee5\u964d1\u5ea6\u308245\u5ea6\u7dda\u306e\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u8d8a\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306a\u304f\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e\u518d\u3073\u300176\u5186\u5272\u308c\u3092\u8d77\u3053\u3059\u3068\u30c0\u30d6\u30eb\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5f31\u6c17\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u8ee2\u63db\u3059\u308b\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u300145\u5ea6\u306e\u30ec\u30b8\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305fA\u2019\u3001B\u2019\u3001C\u2019\u5730\u70b9\uff08\u6c34\u8272\u306e\u5730\u70b9\uff09\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3001R1\u306e\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304f\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002(88\u5186\u8d85\u3048)<\/p>\n

\u3055\u3089\u306b\u305d\u3053\u304b\u3089\u62bc\u3057\u304c\u5165\u308a\u3001R2\u306e\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304f\u308b\u3068\u672c\u7269\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u8ee2\u63db\u3092\u610f\u8b58\u3059\u308b\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u5909\u5316\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\uff08\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u7dd1\uff09<\/p>\n

\u9053\u306f\u9060\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

This is 2 price change and 3 box reversal close price\u2019s Point and Figure chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we made it by weekly close data from 1991.<\/font><\/p>\n

We re-plot this chat every weekend.<\/font><\/p>\n

In short term, we think \u201cBuy on dip\u201d tactics will work well.<\/font><\/p>\n

In long term view, we have a reason for becoming bullish; after \u201cC\u201d point, the market price does not cut 45 degree resistance.<\/font><\/p>\n

If the market price will fall again, this is double top.<\/font><\/p>\n

And what is the trend reversal trigger?<\/font><\/p>\n

In past market, \u201cA\u2019\u201d,\u201dB\u2019\u201d and \u201cC\u2019\u201d point (Walter color) was the 45 degree resistance cutting points.<\/font><\/p>\n

Applying to the recent market, this is cutting \u201cR1\u201d line; going 88 yen over.<\/font><\/p>\n

And the market price made a dip (Green color); cutting \u201cR2\u201d will become real bullish market.<\/font><\/p>\n

It is the long way, <\/font><\/p>\n

\"PF\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u9577\u671f\u8db3\u3002\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5186\u5b89\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u958b\u59cb\u3068\u306a\u308b\u7b2c\u4e00\u95a2\u9580\u306f\u9031\u672b\u5f15\u3051\u5024\u304c88\u5186\u4ee5\u4e0a Long term USDJPY view; if it will become a real bullish, it is 88 yen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4327","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-usdjpy","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4327","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4327"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4327\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4328,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4327\/revisions\/4328"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}