{"id":7324,"date":"2014-10-27T20:15:44","date_gmt":"2014-10-27T11:15:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7324"},"modified":"2014-10-27T20:15:44","modified_gmt":"2014-10-27T11:15:44","slug":"%e3%82%b7%e3%82%ab%e3%82%b4%e3%83%bb%e3%82%aa%e3%83%97%e3%82%b7%e3%83%a7%e3%83%b3vix%ef%bc%88%e6%81%90%e6%80%96%e5%bf%83%e7%90%86%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%ef%bc%89%e6%97%a5%e8%b6%b3pf%e3%80%82%e3%80%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7324","title":{"rendered":"\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3P&F\u3002\u300c\u4e00\u65e6\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u306f\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u300d\u306e\u578b\/Chicago Options ^VIX Daily P&F; caution; now is “Once the crisis was gone” formation. \/\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u671f\u6743\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\u3002P\uff06F\u5206\u6790\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u662f“\u5371\u673a\u4e00\u65e6\u6ca1\u4e86”\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3P&F\u3002\u300c\u4e00\u65e6\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u306f\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u300d\u306e\u578b<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Chicago Options ^VIX Daily P&F; caution; now is \u201cOnce the crisis was gone\u201d formation.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u671f\u6743\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\u3002P\uff06F\u5206\u6790\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u201c\u5371\u673a\u4e00\u65e6\u6ca1\u4e86\u201d\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u5371\u967a\u306a\u5146\u5019\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today, we analyze Chicago Options: ^VIX Daily data.<\/font><\/p>\n

Our conclusion is now may be start of tail risk.<\/font><\/p>\n

\uff11\u67a00.5pt\u30013\u67a0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u300145\u5ea6\u7dda\u3092\u5207\u3063\u305f\u6642\u306b\u306f\u3001VIX\u306e\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u4e0b\u843d\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u4e00\u65e6\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u304c\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u6642\u306e\u578b\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This is 0.5pt change and 3 box reversal close price\u2019s Point and Figure chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

In past market, the market price cut 45 degree support and felled; this means \u201cOnce the crisis was ended\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"PF1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2013\/02\/26\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8<\/a>\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u5730\u5408\u3044\u306e\u5909\u5316\u300d\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a00\u53ca\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u767a\u751f\u6642\u306e\u578b\u304b\u3089\u306f\u9060\u3056\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3057\u3070\u3089\u304f\u898b\u304b\u3051\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3001\u3042\u306e\u300c\u4e0a\u6607\u6642\u306f\u3001\u3044\u3064\u3082\u540c\u3058\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u300d\uff082012\/03\/27\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u53c2\u7167\uff09\u306e\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

VIX\u306e\u6700\u5927\u5024\u306f25\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u524d\u5f8c\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u578b\u306f2012\/03\/27\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u578b\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u30dc\u30e9\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u79d8\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5f8c\u306f\u3001\u7dd1\u306e\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u306e45\u5ea6\u7dda\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We reported \u201cThe market price is going into new market cycle\u201d in 02\/26\/2013<\/a> and we were free from the true crisis.<\/font><\/p>\n

But now, we found out \u201cTrue crisis pattern\u201d (See 03\/27\/2012 report) in recent market.<\/font><\/p>\n

The highest price was only 25 point but this occasion was very close we have introduced in 03\/27\/2012 and the tail risk may come sooner.<\/font><\/p>\n

We need to watch 45 degree resistance and cutting may mean the start of a crisis.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"PF2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u30b7\u30ab\u30b4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3VIX\uff08\u6050\u6016\u5fc3\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff09\u65e5\u8db3P&F\u3002\u300c\u4e00\u65e6\u3001\u5371\u6a5f\u306f\u53bb\u3063\u305f\u300d\u306e\u578b Chicago Options ^VIX Daily P&F; caution; now is \u201cOnce the cris […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chicago-options-vix","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7324"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7324\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7325,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7324\/revisions\/7325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}