{"id":7436,"date":"2014-11-19T23:07:52","date_gmt":"2014-11-19T14:07:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7436"},"modified":"2014-11-20T20:59:13","modified_gmt":"2014-11-20T11:59:13","slug":"%e6%97%a5%e7%b5%8c%e5%b9%b3%e5%9d%87%e6%97%a5%e8%b6%b3%e3%83%bb%e8%a1%86%e9%99%a2%e8%a7%a3%e6%95%a3%e3%81%ae%e5%bd%b1%e9%9f%bf%e3%82%92%e6%af%94%e8%bc%83%e3%83%bb%e9%81%8e%e5%8e%bb%e3%81%ae%e5%b9%b3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7436","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb\u8846\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03 \u305d\u306e1\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3067\u306f2014\/12\/18\u306b\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\/NIKKEI 225 daily; Comparing the impact of dissolution of the House of Representatives Part 1; Applying the past average, the market price will peak out in 12\/18\/2014. \/\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7b2c1\u90e8\u3002\u5229\u7528\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5cf0\u57282014\u5e7412\u670818\u65e5\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb\u8846\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3000\u305d\u306e1\u3000\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3067\u306f2014\/12\/18\u306b\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

NIKKEI 225 daily; Comparing the impact of dissolution of the House of Representatives Part 1; Applying the past average, the market price will peak out in 12\/18\/2014.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u65e5\u7ecf225\u3002\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7b2c1\u90e8\u3002\u5229\u7528\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5cf0\u57282014\u5e7412\u670818\u65e5\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2014\/11\/19\u65e5\u7d4c\u65b0\u805e\u671d\u520a18\u9762\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300e\u300c\u89e3\u6563\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u300d\u306e\u6b7b\u89d2\u300f\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u691c\u8a3c\u304c\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u8846\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u65e5\u306f\u904e\u53bb13\u56de\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8846\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u65e5\u304b\u3089\u3001Retar INDEX\u3092\u4f7f\u3044\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52d5\u3044\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s analyze is NIKKEI 225 daily.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikkei newspaper article in 11\/19\/2014 referred to \u201cImpact of dissolution in blind spot\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

In this article, they referred to 13 times dissolution of the House of Representatives.<\/span><\/p>\n

We verify using our Retar INDEX.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u306f\u3058\u3081\u306b\u300c\u89e3\u6563\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u300d\u304b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u70b9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u898b\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u3001\u89e3\u6563\u3057\u3066\u3082\u682a\u4fa1\u304c\u51b4\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u306f\u6563\u898b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u306f\u300c\u89e3\u6563\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u300d\u304c\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u307e\u308b\u3068\u304d\u3068\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u307e\u3089\u306a\u3044\u6642\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

First, we need to verify the saying \u201cDissolution of the House of Representatives is BUY\u201d and this is not necessarily applied.<\/span><\/p>\n

We can know there were bad occasions in past market.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"70\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u89e3\u6563\u65e5\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u3092100%\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5024\u6301\u3061\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65e5\u6570\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3059\u308b\u3068100%\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u5024\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

33\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306f\u5024\u6301\u3061\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\uff0850%\u8d85\u3048\uff09\u3068\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

33\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u4ee5\u964d\u306f\u89e3\u6563\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u8584\u308c\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This saying is not a perfect saying.<\/span><\/p>\n

During 33 business days after dissolution, the market price keeps dissolution day\u2019s close price over in 50% over occasions.<\/span><\/p>\n

We can know the dissolution impact disappear after business 33days.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Effect\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u89e3\u6563\u5f8c\u306e\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u3068\u3063\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3067\u306f19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u89e3\u6563\u65e5\u306f2014\/11\/21\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

19\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u30012014\/12\/18\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2014\/11\/09\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb\u91d1\u878d\u7de9\u548c\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb\u73fe\u5728\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u521d\u62bc\u3057\u306f\u8cb7\u3044\u30012014\/12\/15-17\u306b\u5229\u98df\u3044\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Taking the average, the market highest price takes 19 business days.<\/span><\/p>\n

The dissolution date is 11\/21\/2014 and 19 business days is 12\/18\/2014.<\/span><\/p>\n

We reported \u201cNIKKEI 225 daily; Comparing to past Monetary Easing; Apply to the latest market, buy in dip and take profit from 12\/15\/2014 to 12\/17\/2014\u201d. In 11\/09\/2014.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

We can know the market price will peak out this time around.<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

\"AV\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/span>Contact Us<\/span><\/a>\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/span><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb\u8846\u9662\u89e3\u6563\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3000\u305d\u306e1\u3000\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3067\u306f2014\/12\/18\u306b\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8 NIKKEI 225 daily; Comparing the impact of dissolution of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-nikkei-225"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7436"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7436\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7440,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7436\/revisions\/7440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}