{"id":7560,"date":"2014-12-11T21:53:19","date_gmt":"2014-12-11T12:53:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7560"},"modified":"2014-12-11T21:53:19","modified_gmt":"2014-12-11T12:53:19","slug":"%e3%83%89%e3%83%ab%e5%86%86%e8%b6%85%e9%95%b7%e6%9c%9f%e8%b6%b3pf%e6%9c%88%e8%b6%b3%e3%80%82%e6%83%b3%e5%ae%9a%e3%81%95%e3%82%8c%e3%82%8b%e4%bb%8a%e5%be%8c%e3%81%ae%e3%82%b7%e3%83%8a%e3%83%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=7560","title":{"rendered":"\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u8db3P&F\u6708\u8db3\u3002\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u30ef\u30a4\u30eb\u30c9\u3067\u30dc\u30e9\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u304b\u3082\/Very long term USDJPY P&F monthly view; the market may be wild and volatile in future. \/\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u6708K\u3002P\uff06F\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d8\u52a8\u53d8\u5f97\u5927\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u8db3P&F\u6708\u8db3\u3002\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u30ef\u30a4\u30eb\u30c9\u3067\u30dc\u30e9\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u304b\u3082<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Very long term USDJPY P&F monthly view; the market may be wild and volatile in future.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143 \u6708K\u3002P\uff06F\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d8\u52a8\u53d8\u5f97\u5927\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u9577\u671f\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff11\u67a05\u5186\u3001\uff13\u67a0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u7d42\u5024\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30a2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

1960\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u964d\u306e\u6708\u672b\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ba\u3067\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s analyze is long term Dollar\/Yen rate.<\/font><\/p>\n

This is 5 price change and 3 box reversal close price\u2019s Point and Figure chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

We use closure price the end of the month after 1960\u2019s.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6628\u65e5\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u8db3P&F\u6708\u8db3\u3002215\u5186\u524d\u5f8c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u8996\u91ce\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6708\u8db3\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u6570\u304b\u6708\u304b\u3089\u6570\u5e74\u4ee5\u5185\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u308a\u3046\u308b\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2014\/11\u306b45\u5ea6\u7dda\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u4e8b\u5b9f\u3092\u91cd\u304f\u53d7\u3051\u6b62\u3081\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u6708\u672b\u306b120\u5186\u53f0\u524d\u534a\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

(\u60f3\u5b9a\u90e8\u5206\u306e\u80cc\u666f\u8272\u3092\u8d64\u304f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059)<\/p>\n

Last day, we reported \u201cVery long term USDJPY P&F monthly view; now may be the break to 215 yen around\u201d<\/a> and today, we analyze what kind of scenarios will come in future.<\/font><\/p>\n

This is monthly data and the scenario will occur within from several months to several years.<\/font><\/p>\n

The best notable point is cutting 45 degree resistance line in11\/2014.<\/font><\/p>\n

We estimate the market price will close 120yen low in this month and estimate the future chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

\uff08The background color in an assumption part is made red.\uff09<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

1. \u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a215\u5186\u306b\u5411\u304b\u3046\/Going up to 215yen around<\/h3>\n

\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4e00\u756a\u904e\u6fc0\u306a\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u5e45\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308b\u3068\u9a5a\u304f\u306b\u306f\u5024\u3057\u306a\u3044\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30af\u3067\u3059\u3002(2014\/12\/10\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u53c2\u7167<\/a>)<\/p>\n

This is the best drastic estimate.<\/font><\/p>\n

But this is not suppressing break. (See 12\/10\/2014 report<\/a>)<\/font><\/p>\n

\"1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2. 105\u5186\u4ed8\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u304b\u3089\u518d\u4e0a\u6607\/Price will drop to 105yen around and jump again<\/h3>\n

\u4e00\u65e6105\u5186\u4ed8\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3061\u518d\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u958b\u59cb\u3059\u308b\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u30de\u30a4\u30eb\u30c9\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001150\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

150\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u304b\u3089\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

The market price fall 105yen around first and re-jump.<\/font><\/p>\n

This is relatively mild jump and will go over 150yen.<\/font><\/p>\n

Cutting 150 yen and will accelerate jumping.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

3. \u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a150\u5186\u3067\u30c0\u30d6\u30eb\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u5f8c\u6301\u3061\u5408\u3044\/the price will reach 150yen around directly and will become steadiness<\/h3>\n

\u4e00\u756a\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

45\u5ea6\u7dda\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u4e8b\u5b9f\u3092\u8efd\u3093\u3058\u3059\u304e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3084\u306f\u308a\u3001150\u5186\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This will not come true.<\/font><\/p>\n

This estimate make light of cutting 45 degree resistance line.<\/font><\/p>\n

We should choose 150 yen over scenario first.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"3\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

4. 140\u5186\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u30ab\u30bf\u30d1\u30eb\u30c8\u306765\u5186\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\/the market price will jump to 140 yen around and will fall 65yen around.<\/h3>\n

\u610f\u5916\u3068\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u306a\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u904e\u6fc0\u306a\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u3053\u3046\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5fc3\u306e\u7247\u9685\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3\u3082\u8003\u616e\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

This is the probable pattern.<\/font><\/p>\n

This is very drastic but this pattern often come true.<\/font><\/p>\n

We should prepare this strong yen pattern in our mind.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"4\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u8d85\u9577\u671f\u8db3P&F\u6708\u8db3\u3002\u60f3\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f\u30ef\u30a4\u30eb\u30c9\u3067\u30dc\u30e9\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u304b\u3082 Very long term USDJPY P&F monthly view; the market may be wild […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-usdjpy","category-report"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7560"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7561,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7560\/revisions\/7561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}