{"id":8395,"date":"2015-06-07T13:38:04","date_gmt":"2015-06-07T04:38:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=8395"},"modified":"2015-06-07T13:38:04","modified_gmt":"2015-06-07T04:38:04","slug":"%e7%b1%b3%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e9%87%91%e5%88%a9%e4%b8%8a%e6%98%87%e3%81%ae%e6%a4%9c%e8%a8%bc2%e3%83%bbdji%e3%81%af60-80%e5%96%b6%e6%a5%ad%e6%97%a5%e3%81%a7%e5%ba%95%e7%a4%ba%e7%8f%be%e3%80%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=8395","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u691c\u8a3c(2)\u30fbDJI\u306f60-80\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5e95\u793a\u73fe\u3001120-140\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5929\u4e95\u793a\u73fe\u304b\/Intended federal funds rate goes up (2); DJI bottom and peak will appear in 60-80 and 120-140 business days. \/\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u600e\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\uff1f\u7b2c2\u90e8\u3002DJI\u5e95\u90e8\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u572860-80\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u3002DJI\u5cf0\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5728120-140\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7c73\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u691c\u8a3c(2)\u30fbDJI\u306f60-80\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5e95\u793a\u73fe\u3001120-140\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5929\u4e95\u793a\u73fe\u304b<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

Intended federal funds rate goes up (2); DJI bottom and peak will appear in 60-80 and 120-140 business days.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u600e\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\uff1f\u7b2c2\u90e8\u3002DJI\u5e95\u90e8\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u572860-80\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u3002DJI\u5cf0\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5728120-140\u4e2a\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\u691c\u8a3c\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We analyze when Intended federal funds rate went up, what happened on the market?<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u958b\u59cb\u306e\u57fa\u6e96\u70b9\u30922004\/07\/01\u30011999\/07\/01\u30011994\/02\/07\u3068\u3057\u3066\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57fa\u6e96\u70b9\u306e\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u306e\u5024\u3092100%\u3068\u3057\u3066200\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u5316\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

3\u56de\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d60-80\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306f\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3001120-140\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u50be\u5411\u304c\u307f\u3066\u3068\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3068\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u70b9100%\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6700\u5927\u4e0b\u843d\u306f94%\u3001\u6700\u5927\u4e0b\u843d\u304b\u3089\u306e\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\u306f102%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u958b\u59cb\u6642\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u6700\u5927\u4e0b\u843d\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5024\u5e45\u306f6%\u3001\u6700\u5927\u4e0b\u843d\u304b\u3089\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\u306e\u5024\u5e45\u306f8%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u5f8c\u3001\u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a\u58f2\u308b\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u3064\u3051\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306e\u8cb7\u3044\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u6709\u5229\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We treat starting points as 07\/01\/2004, 07\/01\/1999 and 02\/07\/1994 and analyze.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we verify DJI and treat 07\/01\/2004, 07\/01\/1999 and 02\/07\/1994 value as 100% and write 200 business days chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

Comparing 3 times, the market price bottomed out in 60-80 business days and peaked out in 120-140 business days. (This is only tendency)<\/font><\/p>\n

Comparing the average, the lowest value is 94% and the highest value is 102%.<\/font><\/p>\n

From starting to the lowest, the average price range is 6% and from the lowest to the highest is 8%.<\/font><\/p>\n

After monetary squeeze, buy in the lowest will more profitable than sell at starting.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"chart\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u7c73\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u691c\u8a3c(2)\u30fbDJI\u306f60-80\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5e95\u793a\u73fe\u3001120-140\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3067\u5929\u4e95\u793a\u73fe\u304b Intended federal funds rate goes up (2); DJI bottom and peak […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8395","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-dow-jones-industrial-average","category-column"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8395"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8396,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8395\/revisions\/8396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}