{"id":8749,"date":"2015-08-02T15:25:22","date_gmt":"2015-08-02T06:25:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=8749"},"modified":"2015-08-02T15:25:22","modified_gmt":"2015-08-02T06:25:22","slug":"%e4%b8%8a%e6%b5%b7%e7%b7%8f%e5%90%88%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e6%97%a5%e8%b6%b3%e3%83%bb2007%e5%b9%b4%e3%81%ae%e7%9b%b8%e5%a0%b4%e3%81%a8%e6%af%94%e8%bc%83%e3%83%bb8%e6%9c%88%e4%b8%ad%e6%97%ac%e9%a0%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/?p=8749","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb8\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u9803\u306b\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\uff1f\/SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) daily; Comparing 2007’s market; A recovery high may be at middle of August. \/\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u73b0\u5728\u548c2007\u5e74\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u5f39\u9ad8\u70b9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57288\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb8\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u9803\u306b\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\uff1f<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) daily; Comparing 2007\u2019s market; A recovery high may be at middle of August.<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u8bc1\u6307\u6570\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u73b0\u5728\u548c2007\u5e74\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u5f39\u9ad8\u70b9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u57288\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u3002<\/strong><\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u672c\u65e5\u306f\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

Today\u2019s analyze is SSE Composite Index weekly data.<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u300c\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u304c\u5d29\u58ca\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u304b\uff1f\u300d\u30922007\u5e74\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

2007\u5e74\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5c40\u9762\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3068\u30012015\u5e74\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5c40\u9762\u306e\u6025\u6fc0\u3055\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c\u65e9\u304f\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u4e0b\u3052\u3082\u65e9\u3044\u300d\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201cAfter Bubble Burst, what it would be? \u201c; we use after 2007\u2019s peaked out data and compare.<\/font><\/p>\n

Comparing the latest market and 2007\u2019s market, we can find out the latest market jumping is sharper.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we know \u201cA sharp jump will become A sharp fall\u201d in our experiences.<\/font> <\/p>\n

\"1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\"2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2007\u5e74\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u307f\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7279\u5fb4\u7684\u306a\u306e\u306f\u6700\u521d\u306e\u57fa\u6e96\u7dda\u306b\u30c1\u30e3\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u3057\u305f\u90e8\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305f\u30012015\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u3082\u65e2\u306b\u57fa\u6e96\u7dda\u30c1\u30e3\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u30a2\u30a6\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u3001\u57fa\u6e96\u7dda\u30c1\u30e3\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u307e\u3067\u306e\u65e5\u67c4\u306f2007\u5e74\u306e\u6642\u306f41\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u30012015\u5e74\u306f30\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u4e0b\u843d\u901f\u5ea6\u304c\u300127% (1-30\/41=100% -73%\uff09\u65e9\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

2007\u5e74\u306e\u57fa\u6e96\u7dda\u306b\u30c1\u30e3\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u3057\u305f\u5730\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\u3092\u3064\u3051\u305f\u306e\u306f25\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n

2015\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3082\u540c\u3058\u901f\u5ea6\u3067\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u305f\u3068\u4eee\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d18\u55b6\u696d\u65e5(2015\/08\/19)\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We can find out the challenging point of \u201cKIJUN\u201d line in 2007\u2019s chart.<\/font><\/p>\n

And the latest market has already challenged it.<\/font><\/p>\n

From the peak to the challenging point of \u201cKIJUN\u201d line, in 2007\u2019s market, it took 41 business days and in the latest market, it took 30 business days.<\/font><\/p>\n

And we can know the latest market fall is 27%(1-30\/41=100% -73%\uff09 sharper than 2007\u2019s market.<\/font><\/p>\n

From the challenging point of \u201cKIJUN\u201d line to the recovery high, in 2007\u2019s market, it took 25 business days.<\/font><\/p>\n

Following this relation in the latest market, this is 18 business days (08\/19\/2015).<\/font><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2015\/07\/19\u306e\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u300c\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u9031\u8db3\u30fb\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\u30fb\u65e5\u7d4c\u3001\u30c0\u30a6\u5de5\u696d\u682a\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u300d\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u4e0a\u6d77\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u30012015\u5e749\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u304b\u30892015\u5e7410\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u3067\u3059\u300d<\/a>\u3068\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3082\u3046\u5c11\u3057\u65e9\u3044\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

We reported \u201cSSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) Weekly; After Bubble Burst, what it would be?; Comparing N225 and DJI\u201d in 07\/19\/2015 and reported \u201d Applying Shanghai market, this will be from the middle of September, 2015 to the middle of October, 2015\u201d.<\/a><\/font><\/p>\n

But the recovery may be sharper.<\/font><\/p>\n

\"3\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u76f8\u5834\u5206\u6790\u306e\u30ea\u30af\u30a8\u30b9\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3089\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u304b\u3089\u304a\u77e5\u3089\u305b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3054\u8981\u671b\u306b\u304a\u5fdc\u3048\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u52aa\u529b\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u3082\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u306f\u5404\u81ea\u3067\u304a\u9858\u3044\u81f4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u4e00\u5207\u306e\u6295\u8cc7\u640d\u76ca\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8cac\u4efb\u3092\u8ca0\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30db\u30fc\u30e0\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u6765\u3066\u4e0b\u3055\u3063\u3066\u3042\u308a\u304c\u3068\u3046\u3054\u3056\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u660e\u65e5\u3082\u3088\u308d\u3057\u304f\u304a\u9858\u3044\u3044\u305f\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

If you have some request to analyze, please write to \u201c<\/font>Contact Us<\/font><\/a>\u201d.<\/font><\/p>\n

We do best effort for your request.<\/font><\/p>\n

These are only personal opinions on this blog, and you need the investment judgment in each one. This blog doesn\u2019t assume the responsibility to all the investment profit and loss.<\/font><\/p>\n

Thank for watching our contents. My best regards next day.<\/font><\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8bf7\u70b9\u51fb\u201cContact Us<\/a>\u201d\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c3d\u529b\u6ee1\u8db3\u60a8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u8bf7\u5404\u81ea\u505a\u51fa\u6295\u8d44\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u6982\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u76c8\u4e8f\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002<\/p>\n

\u611f\u8c22\u60a8\u8bbf\u95ee\u672c\u535a\u5ba2\u3002\u6b22\u8fce\u518d\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4e0a\u6d77\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u65e5\u8db3\u30fb2007\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u30fb8\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u9803\u306b\u623b\u308a\u9ad8\u5024\uff1f SSE Composite Index (Shanghai: 000001.SS) daily; Comparing 2007\u2019s market; A r […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-report","category-sse-composite-index"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8749"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8750,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8749\/revisions\/8750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.retar.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}